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Latest News!Substack(Sep 13, 2025)
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Author Topic: Tech Trader and Grok  (Read 34521 times)
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« Reply #1140 on: November 20, 2025, 02:15:31 PM »

Sold $NVO at $47.62 (+4.6%).
From @Grok (API): "Exiting long on NVO as price tests key rising support at $47.48 without sustained rebound above $50 resistance, in persistent downtrend confirmed by EMA below SMA and price below both, with valid but low-conviction volume capitulation from 11/7 at $45.15 showing no invalidation yet, though historical patterns of repeated failed bounces after similar setups led to losses, and no major bullish catalysts found in recent searches."
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« Reply #1141 on: November 20, 2025, 02:17:32 PM »

Sold $HSBC at $67.68 (-3.8%).
From @Grok (API): "Exiting the long HSBC position as price has dropped sharply below key moving averages on high volume, testing the rising trendline support at $67.61 with bearish momentum indicators like RSI at 39 and MACD crossover, signaling potential breakdown amid no volume capitulation and recent global banking sector pressures."
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« Reply #1142 on: November 20, 2025, 02:19:34 PM »

Sold $NVS at $124.45 (+2.2%).
From @Grok (API): "Exiting long in NVS as price breaks below both EMA and SMA with bearish MACD crossover and RSI nearing oversold, pulling back sharply from 132 resistance toward 121 support after post-earnings bounce, amid fading momentum and no immediate positive catalysts, securing gains from $121.8 entry while avoiding potential further downside in unclear trend."
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« Reply #1143 on: November 20, 2025, 02:21:35 PM »

Sold $EEM at $53.12 (-1.5%).
From @Grok (API): "EEM has broken below the recent capitulation low at $53.45 and both EMA/SMA on high volume amid a pullback from overbought highs, with RSI at oversold 37 but no fresh volume capitulation, prompting an exit from the long position held since $53.93 to lock in near breakeven while positive 2025 EM sentiment from sources like Benzinga and Goldman Sachs suggests potential for re-entry on a confirmed bounce."
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« Reply #1144 on: November 20, 2025, 02:33:38 PM »

Today's portfolio summary with @Grok:
Flat with S&P500 down 1.4%.
Bought $ABBV, $TJX.
Shorted $MSFT, $CRM, $UNH, $GEV.
Sold $GOOGL, $NVO, $HSBC, $NVS, $EEM.
31% long by 16% short. 8% long Health Care.
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« Reply #1145 on: November 20, 2025, 05:17:03 PM »

Bought $ABBV at $229.45.
From @Grok (API): "Uptrend confirmed (price>EMA>SMA, both rising), bouncing off rising supports at $216-220 post-earnings dip with bullish MACD/RSI neutral; favorable R/R targeting $235 resistance. Next earnings ~Jan 31, 2026; no catalysts next 3 days."
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« Reply #1146 on: November 20, 2025, 05:19:04 PM »

Bought $TJX at $148.07.
From @Grok (API): "Main Reason (129 chars): TJX in clear uptrend (price 148>EMA144>SMA143, both rising), post-earnings breakout to new highs above prior 145 resistance with dip-buying on 11/20, high R/R for multi-week hold."
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« Reply #1147 on: November 20, 2025, 05:21:06 PM »

Shorted $ARM at $132.53.
From @Grok (API): "Main Reason (for future reference): ARM in confirmed downtrend (EMA 152.35 < SMA 155.67, price 132.53 below both, both declining), broke below key supports post-earnings with high volume and no capitulation flag, targeting 107-120 support (19% downside vs 12% to 148 resistance) for high R/R over weeks; next earnings ~Feb 4, 2026 (no events next 3 days)."
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« Reply #1148 on: November 20, 2025, 05:23:08 PM »

Shorted $TXN at $153.33.
From @Grok (API): "TXN remains in a clear downtrend with price below declining EMA/SMA, no recent volume capitulation, enabling short entry below EMA at oversold levels for multi-week hold targeting lower supports near 150."
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« Reply #1149 on: November 20, 2025, 05:25:10 PM »

Shorted $META at $589.15.
From @Grok (API): "Main Reason (for future reference): Entering short in confirmed downtrend (price/EMA below declining SMA, no valid capitulation since invalidated 10/31 low), bearish MACD divergence, RSI oversold but no reversal volume, targeting $537 rising support over weeks; prior shorts profitable."
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« Reply #1150 on: November 20, 2025, 05:27:11 PM »

Shorted $MSFT at $478.43.
From @Grok (API): "MSFT in confirmed downtrend (EMA 508 < SMA 514, price 478 < both & declining), no volume capitulation, entry well below EMA near support 466 for favorable R/R targeting 460-470 over weeks; recent sharp drop on high volume post-failed rebound confirms bearish momentum."
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« Reply #1151 on: November 20, 2025, 05:29:12 PM »

Shorted $UNH at $311.54.
From @Grok (API): "Clear downtrend with price (311.54) well below declining EMA (334) and SMA (345), no volume capitulation in 2+ months, favorable R/R targeting BB lower ~299 and prior supports ~290-300 vs stop above EMA ~334; RSI 34/Stoch 5 oversold but no reversal flags, history shows similar breakdowns persist without bounces until capitulation."
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« Reply #1152 on: November 20, 2025, 05:31:14 PM »

Sold $EEM at $53.11 (-1.5%).
From @Grok (API): "EEM broke below entry $53.93 and capitulation low $53.45 on high-volume selloff to $53.11 with price now under rising EMA/SMA, bearish MACD crossover, and RSI under 40 signaling momentum shift despite supportive EM news."
« Last Edit: November 21, 2025, 03:32:46 PM by pftq » Logged
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« Reply #1153 on: November 20, 2025, 05:33:15 PM »

Sold $NVS at $124.36 (+2.1%).
From @Grok (API): "Exited long position as price broke below rising EMAs/SMA amid bearish MACD crossover and sharp volume drop on 11/20, signaling momentum loss near prior resistance 133 despite holding above key support 121.68; small gain locked vs. risk of retest lower support."
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« Reply #1154 on: November 20, 2025, 05:35:16 PM »

Sold $BSX at $96.6 (-7.2%).
From @Grok (API): "Exiting long at ~96.6 as post-entry bounce stalled below key 105 resistance with price breaking recent lows on volume amid bearish MACD and repeated historical pattern of failed recoveries leading to small losses. Next earnings ~Jan 28, 2026; no near-term catalysts."
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