pftq's Stocks and Investing

Trading Guide

Tech Trader

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112 unique view(s)

December 20th, 2012

December 20th, 2012 8:56:50 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
My Tech Trader program now automatically posts its trades to my virtual trading site as well.  Useful for me to keep track of what it's doing from my phone and whatnot.
https://www.pftq.com/stock_sys...

It's pretty much like another person trading my account for me now lol

Meanwhile comprehensive strategy is still short on SPY.  Will be hilarious if the next sell off coincides with the end of the world prediction date (12/21/2012).
121 unique view(s)

December 17th, 2012

December 17th, 2012 8:02:47 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
Updated bollinger bands to highlight pinches in bold red.  Looks like we're forming one on SPY right now as well.  Should be interesting.


Also tentative long on LRCX based on trendlines.
123 unique view(s)

December 14th, 2012

December 14th, 2012 4:11:48 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
Finally done with finals here - haven't looked at anything all week and still slowly taking things in haha Grin

Comprehensive strat on SPY is still short.  Great bounce down from resistance, love how we sold off from QE announcement again.  MACD is still bullish though and the volume isn't strongly indicative of a top.


Automated trades did ok, about flat this week with a mix of losses/gains.  Need to restrict the number of RSI trades since a lot of them seemed correlated (right together, wrong together,).  Trendline break trades helped even things out for the most part, namely trades on MU, AMRN, A, and DKS.  FCX didn't play out at all - probably should put a filter on gap-downs (actually  have one on the strat but it's for extreme % gap-downs, which didn't trigger on FCX).



118 unique view(s)

December 7th, 2012

December 7th, 2012 6:59:03 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
Not much change in market conditions so far, just more stocks continuing to run up against resistance and geting flagged as short opportunities.  Am prepared to flip long if they break though.



116 unique view(s)

December 6th, 2012

December 6th, 2012 6:31:42 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
Only one new trade today from the automation.  FCX Dec. 31x Puts at $1.20
120 unique view(s)

December 5th, 2012

December 5th, 2012 8:49:58 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
Comprehensive strategy will cover and go long again if we close this low (close-dependent signals now labeled in orange).
December 5th, 2012 1:54:56 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
Out of HTZ at $1.40 on the calls from $1.30 (missed my exit with the program earlier).  SPY cover didn't happen - guess we wait more before going long lol

Finally got my trades being automated by my Tech Trader program though and it just exited Dec. calls on CE at $2.40 (from $1.75 entry a couple days ago).  It also just started an entry on EWZ Dec. 52x puts at $.82.  I'm posting this late cause I also just saw this myself; am away from home a lot these last few weeks of school and am not always around to post the trades when they happen (which is a good thing this is now automated Smiley ).

121 unique view(s)

November 30th, 2012

November 30th, 2012 8:02:05 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
HTZ exited yesterday - was out all day and will want to follow that at some point today.


Also a tentative short on KSS.
120 unique view(s)

November 28th, 2012

November 28th, 2012 10:11:44 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
Short signals from last week closed out on the dip in the first hour today.  SPY for example exited at $139.05.  Was worried this wouldn't play out but seems ok now. Smiley My comprehensive SPY strat is still short though, so I'm keeping a few longer-dated puts on SPY just to see where that goes.

November 28th, 2012 2:41:02 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
Trendline break on HTZ today.  Picked up Jan 15x calls at $1.25
114 unique view(s)

November 26th, 2012

November 26th, 2012 7:46:34 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
Comprehensive strategy on SPY has also gone short now (joining the RSI onslaught of short signals from last week).  Scary since if this trade is wrong, it triggers a mistake on both strategies now. :p
113 unique view(s)

November 21st, 2012

November 21st, 2012 7:48:55 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
As expected, tentative short on SPY also showed up now on reversion-based strategy.  Will watch the close to make sure it holds before acting on it.
November 21st, 2012 4:31:34 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
Confirmed short signal today on SPY.  Also picked up short signals on a ton of other etfs.  Will probably act on this Friday since I wasn't home today.
118 unique view(s)

November 20th, 2012

November 20th, 2012 1:49:57 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
Picked up a short signal on XLP via RSI.  It is the only short signal on any of the sectors/etfs though.  I'm guessing we see a gradual rotation of long positions to short over the next few trading days but just a guess on that part.
115 unique view(s)

November 19th, 2012

November 19th, 2012 7:39:12 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
Great open today.  Planning on exiting DIA and XLU calls from RSI2 last Thursday some time today.



No exit signal for SPY calls from my comprehensive strategy yet but we'll see what happens end of day.
November 19th, 2012 2:20:45 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
Only SPY from the comprehensive strategy is still in play now.
114 unique view(s)

November 16th, 2012

November 16th, 2012 10:02:18 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
Looks like technicals predict the future again - 1 day before Congress announces "optimism" Smiley
Same thing happened with ECB in the summer, QE3, first unemployment number below 8%, etc.
120 unique view(s)

November 15th, 2012

November 15th, 2012 11:21:13 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
Comprehensive SPY strategy has covered and gone long using the 135 support (so likely just expecting a bounce).  It can still change depending on the market close today, but just a heads up.  Timing is quite interesting - DIA and a few others have also triggered RSI2/Market-Bottom buy signals, not to mention the holiday rally usually starts around this time.  These are all <80% hitrate signals though, keep in mind.

Edit: Signal confirmed at close.
121 unique view(s)

November 14th, 2012

November 14th, 2012 11:08:58 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
Lots of new lower trendline breaks following new lows on SPY.
Watch the close to make sure the signals hold though.
Unfortunately too busy with midterms here to trade them.




117 unique view(s)

November 10th, 2012

November 11th, 2012 12:21:01 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
Comprehensive strategy added more short on SPY this past Friday.  I was out of town all weekend so I only just saw it.  Getting interesting since it seems to be coming out of the gate quite strongly (first live trade in October) and coincides with the onslaught of recent trendline short signals.
119 unique view(s)

November 7th, 2012

November 7th, 2012 9:53:32 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
Every short signal I've been getting the last couple weeks basically played out.  Need to really take myself out of the picture and stop interfering with the trades.  Updated charts on the ones I posted before:
IWM Trendline Break from Oct.26

IWO Trendline Break from Oct.26

SPY Short via Comprehensive Strat from Oct.25


Just a ton of more trendline short signals today on the scans.  As usual, have to watch the close near end of day to confirm breaks, but just very disappointed at the moment.  Probably going to just stay on the sidelines until I have more time to actually watch the markets (lot of midterms + projects these few weeks until Thanksgiving).
110 unique view(s)

November 1st, 2012

November 1st, 2012 11:44:40 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
GNW calls currently at $.30 from $.20; going to get out at either a break below $6.08 or a test of $6.60.

Picked up Dec. 45x calls on PCAR at $1.70
79 unique view(s)

October 31st, 2012

October 31st, 2012 7:09:51 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
Out of DIA calls at $1.82 from $1.70
ALXN puts finally playing out; stock is at $93 from $95 call initial post.

DIA from a week back:


The lower trendline breaks on IWM/IWO last Friday that didn't hold into close ended up breaking anyway.  Picked up IWM Nov 81x puts at $1.40
October 31st, 2012 7:57:49 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
Holding all puts now (IWM, XLP, XLI, ALXN) from trendline breaks, so I'm hoping to get some long signals soon to balance out.

Watching GNW for a good close to confirm an upper trendline break.
October 31st, 2012 9:29:42 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
Added GNW Nov 6x calls at .20.  Seems like banks are doing well compared to the rest of the market, and it's a nice way to balance all the puts I'm holding.
Out of ALXN at $5.3 from $4
76 unique view(s)

October 29th, 2012

October 29th, 2012 8:36:08 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
This SPY signal was actually generated Friday, so I'm definitely noticing this one a bit late.  However, this strategy is the most comprehensive of the 3 I currently have, using all the indicators I know instead of just being led by either Trendlines or RSI.  The significance is that this strategy has not made a trade since June (long) when I first wrote it, so it's basically the first trade it's making since it was born. :O I'm very confused though why it shorted at such a low point; will be watching closely to see how it performs in real life now.


Altogether a very confusing past week for me so far.  We basically had short signals from support trendlines breaking across the board on the S&P individual stocks and on several sector indicies but at the same time, a few select indicies were oversold and marked as long for the RSI-driven strategy.  The addition of this third more complex strategy also weighing short on the SPY itself just makes me more confused. Sad
72 unique view(s)

October 26th, 2012

October 26th, 2012 9:18:47 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
More support breaks just now. Only valid if we don't rally back up into close of course.

74 unique view(s)

October 25th, 2012

October 25th, 2012 12:49:25 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
Picked up Nov 31x calls on DIA at $1.70.  Oversold + bottom signal recently.  Only thing is I'm not sure how well the signal works for this symbol.  Again, only really picking this up as a hedge against all the Trendline short signals.
70 unique view(s)

October 24th, 2012

October 24th, 2012 12:03:06 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
Out of MMM calls at $1.25 (from $1.10)

Added Nov 95x puts on ALXN at $4.
October 24th, 2012 12:14:17 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
Just crazy last few days - tons of trendline breaks, almost all short.  Pretty much the only long breaks are penny stocks.
October 24th, 2012 12:57:35 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
Picked up Nov 37x puts on XLI at $1.18
70 unique view(s)

October 23rd, 2012

October 23rd, 2012 7:10:13 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
Picked up Nov 35x puts at $.34 on XLP, trendline break downwards.  Program only giving out trendline breaks to the downside today; no RSI long plays due to multiple bearish patterns it picked up.
October 23rd, 2012 10:06:08 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
Picked up Nov 87.5 puts for MMM at $1.10
October 23rd, 2012 1:01:19 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
Picked up XLV Dec 41x calls just to avoid having too much of my portfolio weighted towards shorts.
79 unique view(s)

October 22nd, 2012

October 22nd, 2012 6:41:32 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
Program didn't consider the dip Friday for AAPL as strong enough for a break.  We need to close down strongly today to confirm it or the support will remain.
October 22nd, 2012 5:51:50 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
Bah, didn't have connection to close out of NVDA under $12 today, despite my program's exit.  Going to hope it doesn't rebound too soon tomorrow.
77 unique view(s)

October 19th, 2012

October 19th, 2012 8:59:53 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
Potential support break on NVDA.  Watch the close for a stronger sell off (instead of just the edge of the candle breaching the trendline).
68 unique view(s)

October 18th, 2012

October 18th, 2012 6:49:24 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
No new trendline breaks so far today but a few Bottom signals.  Ironically one on APOL.
Note the Bottom signals don't specify how long it might take to bounce - we could flatline for months from any of these.
Also depends on how we close today as usual.

October 18th, 2012 10:52:20 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
lol program picked up a short on PCLN.  Watching for entry on Nov puts.
October 18th, 2012 11:02:31 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
Stopped out of CHK calls at $1.10, entry from $.9 (yesterday)