pftq's Stocks and Investing

Trading Guide

Tech Trader

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960 unique view(s)

November 29th, 2016

November 29th, 2016 7:40:50 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
That $XOP short from the 16th based on Dec 33x puts is finally starting to kick in.
989 unique view(s)

November 21st, 2016

November 21st, 2016 2:14:09 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Something about to happen with $IAC... bullish risk reversal bought for December after similar buying of Jan 75x calls earlier this month.
IAC 12/16/2016 70x Calls, 2500@$1.0499
MV: $0.3M | $Not.: $6.3M | OI: 2024 | 7.5% TotalOI
18.6% StockVolume | 46.4% OptionVolume
Leg: IAC 12/16/2016 65x Puts, 2500 on OI of 2258
IAC
980 unique view(s)

November 18th, 2016

November 18th, 2016 2:33:57 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Exposures back down to 80% long by 20% short after our best week, literally 10% since Trump with $SPY only up 3%.
1010 unique view(s)

November 16th, 2016

November 16th, 2016 10:22:06 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Massive put buying just now for $XOP Dec 33x.  Someone is betting oil and gas will drop 13% by year end (from OPEC, Trump, who knows).
XOP 12/16/2016 33x Puts, 93325@$0.4199
MV: $3.9M | $Not.: $50.2M | OI: 64402 | 4.9% TotalOI
13.5% StockVolume | 34.6% OptionVolume
XOP
1045 unique view(s)

November 10th, 2016

November 10th, 2016 7:51:07 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Make that 4% with $SPY up 1%.
November 10th, 2016 8:31:34 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Tech Trader just bought $XLU and $XLP, which sold off sharply post-election. First contrarian bets in a while.
XLU on Tech Trader
November 10th, 2016 7:33:41 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
$TASR already up 14% after only buying it yesterday. TT already up 2% with $SPY only up 0.5%.
November 10th, 2016 8:20:33 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Just added $TREE (lending tree) on week-out call buying:
TREE 11/18/2016 90x Calls, 1000@$2.65
MV: $0.3M | $Not.: $4.0M | OI: 73 | 10.4% TotalOI
106.1% StockVolume | 82.0% OptionVolume
1040 unique view(s)

November 9th, 2016

November 9th, 2016 7:49:24 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Up over 2% today post-election despite $SPY down and TT 150% long. Pretty incredible. Looks like stock selection is finally back with our biggest gains in healthcare and materials like $NBIX, $EGRX, $STLD.  That $KOF short from way back due to put buying suddenly makes sense given Trump's adversity to Mexico.
November 9th, 2016 7:57:39 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Hilarious one of our top gains is short $KOF (Coke Mexico) despite $SPY up. Like Tech Trader knew Trump would win.
November 9th, 2016 1:53:22 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Ended up 3% w/ 150% long but only adding more: $AMP, $CELG, $CF, $GD, $NEE, $NUE, $TASR, $TEX, $TRQ. Again, more materials, utilities, finance, and healthcare - all the less frothy names.
1090 unique view(s)

October 26th, 2016

October 26th, 2016 7:33:22 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Adding $IYR and $XLB as short term bottom plays as well. No major indices like $SPY or $QQQ yet though.

October 26th, 2016 9:00:28 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Continuing to bottom pick ETFs with $EEM and $RSX. 5 ETFs now.

October 26th, 2016 10:37:18 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Massive call buying in $CTSH for April 55x.
CTSH 4/21/2017 55x Calls, 10000@$2.4
MV: $2.4M | $Not.: $19.8M | OI: 821 | 10.7% TotalOI
23.8% StockVolume | 73.6% OptionVolume
1060 unique view(s)

October 25th, 2016

October 25th, 2016 8:51:18 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Picking up $XHB on a potential bounce from the low of the last 6 months.
XHB on Tech Trader
October 25th, 2016 7:36:59 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Shorted $HAL after unusually large front-month put buying in the energy name. Wonder what's the story on it.
HAL 11/18/2016 47x Puts, 22696@$0.8999
MV: $2.0M | $Not.: $37.3M | OI: 1499 | 4.7% TotalOI
45.1% StockVolume | 78.9% OptionVolume
October 25th, 2016 1:09:24 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Also long $CYNO due to call buying and $AMD again due to breakout.
1068 unique view(s)

October 24th, 2016

October 24th, 2016 10:51:21 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Tech Trader buying $TWX on today's dip after seeing a large risk reversal buy for December:
TWX 12/16/2016 90x Calls, 17500@$1.5399
MV: $2.7M | $Not.: $53.6M | OI: 867 | 7.6% TotalOI
2.9% StockVolume | 16.6% OptionVolume
Leg: TWX 12/16/2016 82.5x Puts, 17500 on OI of 305
TWX
1070 unique view(s)

October 21st, 2016

October 21st, 2016 7:52:12 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Tech Trader finally dipping its toe into the market with both long $DIA and short $UUP.
DIA
October 21st, 2016 8:06:00 AM PST
Posted by TimothyB | #
TimothyB (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Just wondering about TT.


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>
October 21st, 2016 8:38:54 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Also buying up a lot of Basic Industries: $CE, $MTZ, $STLD, $VALE, $X
October 21st, 2016 11:08:34 AM PST
Posted by zonayev | #
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
You are shorting USD and buying stocks that perform well in weak USD environment. Can you explain what strategy is shorting USD?

Today's price action ( Oil, Gold and EM are all strong despite USD move) probably means that market is expecting mean reversion in USD. I can see that USD breakout from this level can do real damage to risk but it seems market is fading derivatives of strong USD trade.

Thanks,
Zhan


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>
October 21st, 2016 12:15:31 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
The individual stock trades are based on stock volume. The short $UUP is based on put buying in the options.  So in both stock and options market, Tech Trader is seeing large trades betting either against USD or for long the equity.  I think it's the latter; the stocks we are buying I think have a more idiosyncratic theme that will reveal themselves.
October 21st, 2016 12:51:15 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Also long financial names $AXP, $JPM, $PYPL. Seems like a lot of activity coming back in the markets.
October 21st, 2016 3:27:34 PM PST
Posted by zonayev | #
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Thanks!

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>
1087 unique view(s)

October 13th, 2016

October 13th, 2016 12:58:40 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Added $NBIX and $JBLU buys but still no cluster of ETF buys that usually comes when $SPY dips.
NBIX
October 13th, 2016 3:15:08 PM PST
Posted by zonayev | #
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
I agree with TT. No panic sell off yet. Need to see bank results tomorrow and Yellen is speaking tomorrow.

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>
1076 unique view(s)

October 11th, 2016

October 11th, 2016 12:28:20 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Very interesting that Tech Trader is not buying this dip in $SPY here.  Reminds me of January.
SPY
1022 unique view(s)

October 10th, 2016

October 10th, 2016 12:55:10 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Building back long exposures with buys in $COMM, $CSOD, $JPM, $FANG, $SM. Energy, Finance, and Tech.
COMM
1122 unique view(s)

September 29th, 2016

September 29th, 2016 10:46:51 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
$QCOM rallying on takeover of $NXPI. Both names and semiconductor industry overall have been favorites for Tech Trader.
1141 unique view(s)

September 28th, 2016

September 28th, 2016 7:34:47 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Strong performance from $TTS, $ESV, $BITA, and -$FDS the past week. Currently 72% long by 43% short with 19% in Tech again.  Currently up a little under a percent this month with the market down almost a percent.

September 28th, 2016 6:56:02 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
The $USO trade on $3.3M in call buying last week is doing well from Saudi cutting oil production today.  Whoever bought those calls was likely expecting this.
1136 unique view(s)

September 23rd, 2016

September 23rd, 2016 1:16:17 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Gradually adding to both sides again with long $TWTR, $BITA and short $WWAV, $AWI.
TWTR
1129 unique view(s)

September 22nd, 2016

September 22nd, 2016 7:50:41 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Tech Trader picking up $3.3M in Oct call buying for $USO.
USO 10/21/2016 11.5x Calls, 173000@$0.1899
MV: $3.3M | $Not.: $48.2M | OI: 12976 | 5.2% TotalOI
28.4% StockVolume | 54.6% OptionVolume
USO
1127 unique view(s)

September 21st, 2016

September 21st, 2016 1:00:56 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Bringing back exposures a bit on both sides with long $QCOM, $SRE, $ESV and short $PRLB, $PRTA, $IJR.
QCOM
1118 unique view(s)

September 20th, 2016

September 20th, 2016 2:22:31 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Tech Trader now technically net short with 32% long and 36% short exposure.

September 20th, 2016 2:45:09 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Updated with graphs and snapshot.
September 20th, 2016 5:38:47 PM PST
Posted by zonayev | #
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Why your gross is so low? Does it mean model is highly uncertain about next few weeks?


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>
1119 unique view(s)

September 19th, 2016

September 19th, 2016 1:19:27 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Out of $SLV for 2%. Still reducing overall. Now 40% long by 30% short; 60% cash again like January.
1141 unique view(s)

September 16th, 2016

September 16th, 2016 8:36:24 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Tech Trader continuing to get more defensive here by buying $SLV and shorting $EWG. This in context of already closing old positions and buying things on dip instead.
SLV