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Tech Trader


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Updates by Tech Trader, a fully autonomous trading system with no human intervention.
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1001 unique view(s)

June 3rd, 2016

June 3rd, 2016 1:41:03 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Someone buying front-month $35x calls on $PODD only 2 weeks away. Maybe some event coming. We'll see.

PODD 6/17/2016 35x Calls, 3083@$0.4
MV: $0.1M | $Not.: $1.8M | OI: 1196 | 43.5% TotalOI
63.5% StockVolume | 58.6% OptionVolume

1050 unique view(s)

June 2nd, 2016

June 2nd, 2016 9:37:03 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Two big winners today in long $CIEN and short $CXRX, both from options activity. Heavy call buying yesterday in $CIEN before its earnings beat today and a large bearish risk reversal in $CXRX last week before the Blackstone takeover fell apart just now. All the news and talk around $CXRX was positive until just now, so whoever bought that risk reversal last week was betting against the crowd.


June 2nd, 2016 11:47:54 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Picked up $LTRPA after some heavy call buying - quiet stock with almost no chatter or movement. Very odd.
LTRPA 7/15/2016 25x Calls, 4900@$0.8999
MV: $0.4M | $Not.: $4.3M | OI: 11 | 3,712.1% TotalOI
36.0% StockVolume | 91.6% OptionVolume
1100 unique view(s)

May 27th, 2016

May 27th, 2016 11:47:51 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Last week, we noted Tech Trader was buying virtually everything across the board and seemed to be short the dollar, except that it strangely bought $UUP (the dollar ETF) as well. Ironically both $SPY and $UUP are now testing highs. Funny how things play out.

It seems like all the seasonal patterns are breaking down this year (January effect, sell in May, etc). Happy holiday weekend to everyone and looking forward to see what comes next.
UUP
1145 unique view(s)

May 26th, 2016

May 26th, 2016 4:44:30 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Had a question about our $AAPL trade - Tech Trader is looking at it as a longer term play with resistance at ~ $112. The system identified a lot of accumulation in the $90s and below (the "BOT" flags) and will likewise hold for medium-long term or until it sees similar magnitude in selling.  See chart below.
May 26th, 2016 5:50:26 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
$LGF basically a free gain this morning opening at pre-earnings price of $19.76; was above $22 yesterday after hours.  Call buyers that got us into the stock in the first place are targeting $24 strike for June.
LGF 6/17/2016 24x Calls, 3400@$1.2999
MV: $0.4M | $Not.: $3.1M | OI: 1583 | 10.9% TotalOI
3.8% StockVolume | 54.5% OptionVolume
1139 unique view(s)

May 25th, 2016

May 25th, 2016 5:43:33 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Market back to all-time highs. Both longs and shorts working. $CSC up 30% on merger while $BBY dropped 7% despite beating earnings. Even the $UUP dollar bet is up, which is ironic. Still very long consumer, energy, and healthcare here while being short brick-and-mortar. For whatever reason, Tech Trader is short a bunch of brick-and-mortar mattress companies $MFRM and $TPX; looking forward to see how those turn out.


May 25th, 2016 5:53:33 AM PST
Posted by twgarry | #
twgarry (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Well done

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May 25th, 2016 10:13:46 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Looks like Tech Trader is finally taking a bet on Europe with short $EWG based on July put buying.
EWG 7/15/2016 24x Puts, 20000@$0.4
MV: $0.8M | $Not.: $13.8M | OI: 16163 | 10.0% TotalOI
31.6% StockVolume | 98.7% OptionVolume
1222 unique view(s)

May 18th, 2016

May 18th, 2016 9:52:31 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Continuing to get longer Consumer and Energy here with $BAH and $ECA.

May 18th, 2016 11:03:52 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Buying $IAU (Gold) and $RSX on volume capitulation after they sold off on Fed minutes.
May 18th, 2016 1:23:10 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Shorted $BBY on $1M puts being bought. Tech Trader just hating on retails even though it's long all other consumers.
May 18th, 2016 5:39:15 PM PST
Posted by zonayev | #
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Tough bet after today's hawkish FOMC minutes. I hope your UUP bet is big enough to offset "short dollar" longs, in case dollar strength continues. Good luck!

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1218 unique view(s)

May 17th, 2016

May 17th, 2016 4:46:30 AM PST
Posted by rppp | #
rppp (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
What does Techtrader say about George Soros’ big short bet against SPY?
May 17th, 2016 6:15:13 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
The weird thing is we're up with the market down despite our 90% long by
30% short exposure, so it's hard to interpret what that means as in terms
of where S&P500 is going.  I would say it almost seems Tech Trader is
agnostic and only cares about Energy, Healthcare, Tech, Consumer here (even
then, it's very idiosyncratic since it's actually also short specific areas
like brick-and-mortor retail).
May 17th, 2016 6:39:59 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Our beta for the year is 0.2 - effectively uncorrelated to the market.
May 17th, 2016 7:36:36 AM PST
Posted by rppp | #
rppp (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Exactly why I asked. The chatter in the news media is that Soros has a “big put bet” However Techtrader doesn’t read news which in this case is great.
May 17th, 2016 9:44:52 AM PST
Posted by zonayev | #
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
We have a massive 'risk on' rally today (high beta is outperforming low
beta by over 2%). USD is down after a 10-day rally. You must have a high
exposure to Oil and Beta which is saving you today.
1148 unique view(s)

May 16th, 2016

May 16th, 2016 6:34:31 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
$AAPL flagging a bottom as well as being near multi-year-support. Older less-used algorithm but interesting to note nonetheless.
1159 unique view(s)

May 13th, 2016

May 13th, 2016 7:23:04 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Tech Trader continuing to get longer here, almost 100% long by 30% short. Biggest bets are Consumer, Energy, and then Healthcare. Most interesting names in the last few days are $MON, $STRZA, and $EGRX, which are getting increased buying activity in both stock and options after the initial signals.  Tech Trader overall is getting much more idiosyncratic in its bets with long Consumer names like $YELP and $WWAV but also short Consumer names like $MFRM and $DNKN.





May 13th, 2016 4:28:43 AM PST
Posted by zonayev | #
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
As I expected, Chinese loan data came out well below consensus. Credit conditions are tightening. Not good for risk.

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>
1129 unique view(s)

May 11th, 2016

May 11th, 2016 6:59:12 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Tech Trader's been gradually rotating back into Energy this week: $PBR, $EQT, $FTI, $SM
Looks like it was a play into the oil report today, which caused the energy sector to flip from negative to positive this morning.

Tech Trader overall (if you look at the chart from yesterday) is now mainly long Energy, Consumer, and Healthcare.  Again, exposures are at year highs now with longs at 96% and shorts at 33%.

$PBR and $EQT are old favorites of Tech Trader; been in and out of those since March.  $FTI and $SM are new ones picked up from risk reversal activity in the options market.


May 11th, 2016 7:04:15 AM PST
Posted by zonayev | #
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Chinese data is not out yet. The oil number is bullish but not clear how much of the draw is due to wildfires in Canada. Let's see if Oil holds its gains into close.


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>
1134 unique view(s)

May 10th, 2016

May 10th, 2016 7:58:32 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Out of $SPY now but still very long with $PAH, $WWAV, $EGRX, and many other names finally playing out after months of consolidation.  Tech Trader remains 90% long by 30% short, the most invested we've been all year since going 60% cash in November.  I expect this will continue into the end of Q2 with many people who expect seasonal weakness to be disappointed.  If you look at the charts below, many names we have are just now starting to break to the upside.



May 10th, 2016 8:28:23 AM PST
Posted by zonayev | #
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Good luck. Tomorrow's Oil report and Chinese data later this week would set up the tone. I expect loan data from China to be weak. Today buyback window is reopened, so we have incremental buying from fundamental insensitive players.


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1111 unique view(s)

May 6th, 2016

May 7th, 2016 1:28:33 AM PST
Posted by twgarry | #
twgarry (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Nice call on yelp

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>
1028 unique view(s)

May 7th, 2016

May 7th, 2016 10:02:11 AM PST
Posted by zonayev | #
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Good luck. Very important trade data out of China would be released this weekend. If exports miss, I expect continuation of weakness for the rest of the month. And then we have June- very weak seasonal.
Second, USD move last week was quite extreme, seasonality for USD in May is very bullish, so likely we would see more strength in USD, which could keep market rebounds contained.





 

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>
May 7th, 2016 10:08:45 PM PST
Posted by zonayev | #
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Expecting a selloff on Monday. See the link below


http://www.wsj.com/articles/weak-demand-dents-chinas-exports-1462685934


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950 unique view(s)

May 6th, 2016

May 7th, 2016 12:44:11 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Getting pretty long... Bought $YELP, $MDCO, and oddly enough $HLF. Ackman not going to like us...

$YELP and $HLF are high volume breakouts, while $MDCO is getting a lot of call buying today.


894 unique view(s)

May 3rd, 2016

May 3rd, 2016 12:42:53 PM PST
Posted by zonayev | #
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Did you get another Buy signal? Or more pain tomorrow?


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May 3rd, 2016 1:50:39 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
No signals today, just holding.
May 3rd, 2016 2:59:29 PM PST
Posted by zonayev | #
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Tomorrow European and Chinese services PMIs are going to be released which could impact USD. DoE oil report would probably be a market mover too. Gasoline inventory component would be important as well as rate of production decline. USD moved a lot today and weaker international data along with weak Oil report could add to further USD strength causing more weakness for equities. Stronger PMI data would weaken USD and cause a rebound in equities.

Good luck.



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>
May 3rd, 2016 3:05:02 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Great color and information, thanks.
858 unique view(s)

May 2nd, 2016

May 2nd, 2016 11:30:53 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Tech Trader's once-in-a-blue-moon $SPY signal keeps its 100% hitrate intact yet again. $SPY at $208 from $206.6; current target price is $208.2, which isn't far off.  Probably an exit at end of day or tomorrow. The signal normally only happens a few times a year, yet this is our third one a few months into 2016.  Very interesting times.  So unreal every time we get this signal, but it never fails (knock on wood).

May 2nd, 2016 1:19:43 PM PST
Posted by zonayev | #
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Nice! It did rally despite negative Chinese data and weak Oil. Good job!


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May 2nd, 2016 2:31:21 PM PST
Posted by twgarry | #
twgarry (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Great job! Love this signal!

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>
904 unique view(s)

April 29th, 2016

April 29th, 2016 6:35:57 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Intraday bottom signals coming back to life, buying a swath of ETFs $SPY, $IWM, $XLI, $SMH... If we stay here till close we might also get our once-in-a-blue-moon RSI2 $SPY signal, which has a 100% hitrate and only triggers a few times a year (although it's already triggered 3 times this year!).
April 29th, 2016 12:29:10 PM PST
Posted by zonayev | #
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Will,
Did you get RSI2 buy on SPY?
Thanks!

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April 29th, 2016 12:31:48 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
The once-in-a-blue-moon RSI $SPY buy signal triggered at $206.60. The big one is a go!
Again, this signal only happens a few times a year and has a 100% hitrate since inception.
April 29th, 2016 5:45:36 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
$MNST up 13% after all the unusual volume spikes Tech Trader kept flagging last week.