pftq's Stocks and Investing

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Tech Trader


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789 unique view(s)

April 19th, 2016

April 19th, 2016 7:32:38 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
The orange BOT signals mean Tech Trader sees it as potential V-shaped bottom.  The red ones are longer term, meaning it may just flatten out but is essentially where Tech Trader thinks is a floor for the stock.  Note that it doesn't mean it necessarily gets traded, just part of Tech Trader's thought process amongst many other things it draws on the charts.
April 19th, 2016 9:03:39 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Large 1M share buy on $MNST that just pushed the price a couple dollars. Similar trade on it last week as well.
808 unique view(s)

April 18th, 2016

April 18th, 2016 12:50:49 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Massive volume spike on $INCR on older strategy. Similar spike in $CVT before 65% jump today.
INCR
April 18th, 2016 12:58:47 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Whoever bought $INCR in that one trade pushed the stock up over 10% briefly.


$CVT from last week for comparison.
April 18th, 2016 1:19:32 PM PST
Posted by rppp | #
rppp (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Funny the news that moved it was potential talks with LabCorp …

R--
836 unique view(s)

April 15th, 2016

April 15th, 2016 12:52:47 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Taking gains on many energy names into week end. Main one holding is $PBR, ironically most tied to Brazil impeachment situation.  The timing is pretty amazing as this is basically Tech Trader reducing exposure before the vote on Sunday.




April 15th, 2016 1:16:37 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Here is the news on Brazil and $PBR for those who aren't following as closely.  Again, pretty amazing that we're taking gains off the table right into the vote on Sunday while keeping the one name literally in the center of the impeachment scandal.
http://www.wsj.com/articles/rousseff-asks-brazil-supreme-court-to-suspend-impeachment-process-1460664902
833 unique view(s)

April 13th, 2016

April 13th, 2016 9:51:01 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Another strong day for Brazil/Oil trade. $VALE from yesterday already up 8%, $PBR up 3%. $XLE itself not up that much, so Brazil is definitely the bigger factor.
843 unique view(s)

April 12th, 2016

April 12th, 2016 8:11:50 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Adding to last month's long Brazil/Oil theme with $VALE to the existing $PBR, $MUR, $EEP, $EQT. Tech Trader is still overall very neutral in exposure (55% long, 40% short), but it'll be interesting to see if this starts to change and especially if it's via energy bets.  You can see in the sector exposure chart at the bottom that Energy is now leading for both most exposure (still a modest 20%) and marginally the most P&L for the year (excluding ETFs).



April 12th, 2016 1:23:57 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Big day for Brazil/Energy. $VALE, $PBR, $MUR, $EEP, $EQT all up 5-10%. $XLE and other energy names breaking out on trendlines, volume spikes, and other older strategies, which is very bullish on the sector.
April 12th, 2016 1:36:02 PM PST
Posted by twgarry | #
twgarry (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Totally agree.  Great work!

Sent from my iPhone

>
888 unique view(s)

April 6th, 2016

April 6th, 2016 1:06:41 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Healthcare theme playing out well from last week.  $MDVN, $BSX, $EGRX, and even an older one $INSY each up 2-7%.
911 unique view(s)

April 4th, 2016

April 4th, 2016 9:40:14 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
$WWE, which had a bullish risk reversal on April 18x calls/puts last week, is in rumors to have a buyout offer.  This is the options activity from last week:
WWE 4/15/2016 18x Calls, 1655@$0.8999
MV: $0.1M | $Not.: $1.4M | OI: 1094 | 8.6% TotalOI
22.8% StockVolume | 27.3% OptionVolume
Leg: WWE 4/15/2016 18x Puts, 1655 on OI of 2516
WWE
942 unique view(s)

April 1st, 2016

April 1st, 2016 6:48:30 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
$OMF, which had Apr 31x call buying, just sold 47% stake in SpringCastle. See if this is the news the buyer wanted.
OMF
April 1st, 2016 10:23:55 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
$XLB bought on intraday bottom signal this morning at $44.27. $XLE probably correlated. Only one again, not the usual flurry of 3-5 signals.
April 1st, 2016 12:32:21 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Already out of $XLB at $45.  Again, intraday swings so extreme this year that Tech Trader is daytrading these moves.
918 unique view(s)

March 31st, 2016

March 31st, 2016 1:13:06 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Activity in individual stocks picking up. $BSX, $EGRX, $MDVN all bought this week. $WUBA, $FNGN, $KBWB shorted.  $OMF rebought this month after already trading it last month.

Overall positioning looks like a continuation of the long Brazil/oil theme but now also with healthcare while selectively buying and shorting financial names.  It seems like there's a lot of anticipation on catalysts coming up on many of these names ranging from healthcare events to potential acquisitions on other names.


March 31st, 2016 12:23:20 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Market slightly down but $OMF up almost 4% today. Still holding due to April call buying.
March 31st, 2016 12:47:22 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Short $KBWB on $2.4M bearish risk reversal for May. Interesting as pair trade against long $OMF; both bank related.

KBWB 6/17/2016 33x Puts, 18000@$1.35
MV: $2.4M | $Not.: $28.1M | OI: 0 | 9,424.1% TotalOI
1,227.9% StockVolume | 50.0% OptionVolume
Leg: KBWB 6/17/2016 33x Calls, 18000 on OI of 0
951 unique view(s)

March 30th, 2016

March 30th, 2016 8:40:40 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Brazil trade working out especially well today after Fed again. Names like $PBR up above $6 now from Tech Trader's entry around $5.
PBR
March 30th, 2016 12:56:39 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
$WUBA getting shorted on about $1M in May put buying.  Some of you follow China markets closely, so I thought this would be of interest.

WUBA 5/20/2016 55x Puts, 2042@$3.5
MV: $0.7M | $Not.: $4.8M | OI: 47 | 7.9% TotalOI
14.3% StockVolume | 40.1% OptionVolume
1005 unique view(s)

March 24th, 2016

March 24th, 2016 7:26:52 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Tech Trader coming alive again w/ an intraday bottom on $XLK at $43.35.  Only one so far - like first shots fired to test the waters.


More interestingly, Tech Trader's 100% hitrate once-in-a-blue-moon SPY buy signal might trigger today as well.  All of us here are watching excitingly to see if we'll get yet another signal this year only 3 months into the year, which is very unusual and points to just how different the current market is from the last few years.
March 24th, 2016 1:26:28 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Looks like that $XLK signal was enough for the market to rally back to the close.  Little disappointing, but we'll see if the market gives us a second chance to buy next week.
1096 unique view(s)

March 18th, 2016

March 18th, 2016 6:39:37 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
The long Brazil and $AMD themes continuing strongly from yesterday.  Last one we're waiting on is $INSY (marijuana) with its conference today.
AMD
March 18th, 2016 6:48:01 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Funny but not serious note is $VRX (Valeant) has a short-term buy on an older RSI strategy at $29.5 with a target price of $45; not traded but interesting to watch, as that strategy has a 80% hitrate on all its signals.

March 18th, 2016 8:17:25 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Ton of bullish trendline breaks this week. This just from today: $ASNA $DWA $FLT $FIVE $HR $L $NAVI $NGL $RDN $SFM $SMLP $SWFT $TGI $TSLA $UNP

These from past few days: $APD $BAM $BKE $CBI $CBL $CCJ $CPA $D $D $DKS $DOV $DYN $E $ENLC $EPE $EQM $EQM $EQT $FCE-A $FLEX $GGP $GPK $HES $HPP $IBN $KT $KYN $LBTYA $LPI $LPT $LSTR $MAC $NFG $NS $OPK $PH $RRD $SCCO $SHOO $SNE $SRE $SRE $STLD $SU $TSL $TU $UNF $UNFI $UNFI $UPS $WBC $WPC $WYN $XLE $XPO

Normally very bullish when you get huge clusters like this.  Again, older strategy not traded but good to monitor.

March 18th, 2016 9:08:09 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
And there goes $INSY, just jumped 6% to $18 and still going.
March 18th, 2016 11:01:22 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Tech Trader back into $OMF on the same April call buying, this time at $31 strike.  Seems like someone is really betting on it going above $30 by next month.  Funny stock to watch because it always has 10% up days after it pulls back.
OMF 4/15/2016 31x Calls, 5000@$1.0499
MV: $0.5M | $Not.: $5.0M | OI: 0 | 19.9% TotalOI
24.3% StockVolume | 46.6% OptionVolume
1063 unique view(s)

March 17th, 2016

March 17th, 2016 6:51:43 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Brazil theme finally playing out in size after Fed, with names like PBR, ITUB, and EWZ up 8-10% a piece today.  AMD also up 5% on talks about Intel licensing their GPU patents.  Last theme to watch would be the marijuana one with INSY, which is presenting at a conference tomorrow.
1027 unique view(s)

March 16th, 2016

March 16th, 2016 8:20:37 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Been a rather uneventful couple of months, but it looks like Tech Trader is finally building a couple themes here, first with Brazil (note that it cut ITUB and RIO though), then marijuana (INSY), and now potentially virtual reality with AMD.  These are longer medium term plays, so we'll see how these play out.

1026 unique view(s)

March 14th, 2016

March 14th, 2016 10:33:37 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Marijuana stocks breaking out today, mainly following GWPH which jumped over 100%.  Tech Trader in particular holding INSY from last week based on call buying around $16; INSY has about 80% short interest and 23 days to cover.
1099 unique view(s)

March 11th, 2016

March 11th, 2016 11:03:03 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Tech Trader adding to its long Brazil theme with BBVA today.
1111 unique view(s)

March 10th, 2016

March 10th, 2016 2:46:45 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Much of the market flat today after all the whipsaw, but IHUB and PBR from a couple days ago are up about 5% a piece.  Not really sure why, but interesting to watch.
1220 unique view(s)

March 8th, 2016

March 8th, 2016 1:08:40 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Starting to finally see some shakiness in the market.  The XLU long and SMH short call from last week is starting to play out pretty well now.

Some other interesting observations are that Brazillian names in particular are being picked up on the long side.  Tech Trader overall is still net short though.


1393 unique view(s)

March 5th, 2016

March 5th, 2016 8:58:18 AM PST
Posted by dipsea | #
dipsea (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Excellent data worth considering. Thanks
1388 unique view(s)

March 4th, 2016

March 4th, 2016 9:05:23 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
XLU up over a percent since the bottom call a couple days ago, which is just weird since it's the opposite of what you'd expect with how rates are moving on the stronger than expected job numbers, but we'll take what we can get.

Tech Trader still net short (50% cash, 20% long, 50% short)  but pretty much holding flat in performance despite the market rally.  It's basically choosing to sidestep the rally out of caution.  Some older strategies that are not traded live but we still monitor are also flagging extremely bearish, namely our RSI2 stocks which very rarely is over 100% short is currently 130% short and continuing to add.  Main takeaway is the market is coming off very overbought and risk is high to the downside.

Below is the current exposure of the older RSI2 stocks strategy; it's not traded live for the obvious volatility in performance, but the peak exposure periods have a hitrate of 90% with those periods only happening a couple times a year.
March 4th, 2016 1:10:49 PM PST
Posted by buck.andrews | #
buck.andrews (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Thanks for the explanation. This helps me to better understand tech trader.
1383 unique view(s)

March 2nd, 2016

March 2nd, 2016 8:54:19 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
CS and OMF up about 2-3% each.  Not sure why; we're watching closely just to see what happens, as often times these can be frontrunning some kind of news.

Tech Trader overall getting net short again though both by shorting more and getting out of existing long positions.  It is also getting more defensive with what it has left over in long names. SMH just got shorted and XLU is being bought on intraday bottom, both of which are defensive signs.


1387 unique view(s)

March 1st, 2016

March 1st, 2016 11:38:39 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Some really interesting activity happening in the finance sector just now.  Someone coming into CS (Credit Suisse) with heavy call buying at what appears to be recession lows.  OMF, a name with call buying earlier last month, also just started spiking up (literally going straight up on the 1 min chart).

1410 unique view(s)

February 26th, 2016

February 26th, 2016 10:26:04 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Tech Trader out of its remaining intraday bottom trades from Tuesday.  Sold healthcare/biotech ETFs XBI and IBB this morning.  Total trade gain about 5% each.  Tech Trader's overall exposure back to about 50% cash and neutral now.