pftq's Stocks and Investing

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Tech Trader


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812 unique view(s)

April 22nd, 2016

April 22nd, 2016 8:01:04 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
$PBR up another 7%; only Brazil name left and it's the strongest. Also just shorted $RIO on $1.6M in put buying, effectively betting both sides equally in Brazil now.  The put activity is below.  This is definitely a rotation from Tech Trader's massively long Brazil theme last month.

RIO 6/17/2016 32.5x Puts, 9404@$1.7
MV: $1.6M | $Not.: $11.9M | OI: 347 | 7.1% TotalOI
32.3% StockVolume | 72.2% OptionVolume


$PBR trade up a total 25% now.
April 22nd, 2016 8:24:00 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Shorting $KIE (insurance) and $GOOG (Google) now. Getting pretty bearish on anything outside Healthcare and Energy. Looks like we're basically looking at an across-the-board reversal (all the stuff that shot up getting shorted, things beaten down getting bought).



April 22nd, 2016 9:43:35 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Massive $2.4M buy in $FIZZ that pushed price up $2. Similar to 1m share trade in $MNST last week. Seems like someone is making a big bet in niche beverage names...
April 22nd, 2016 12:05:49 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Someone just bought $2.2M in $DXJ June 50x calls, basically a dollar-neutral bet on Japan. $DXJ has a double bottom with resistance at $47 and then $51, basically beaten down like everything else getting bought.
826 unique view(s)

April 21st, 2016

April 21st, 2016 9:00:56 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Theme rotating from Brazil to last month's healthcare names now. $EGRX up 15%; many names $BMY, $WLK, $GILD bullish on Trendlines, unusual volume, and other older strategies.


April 21st, 2016 10:40:55 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
An interesting trade is $PTC, despite it ending today. Someone bought $200k in calls right before today's 8% jump.  The call buying Tech Trader picked up is below.  Just shows that someone always knows the news before it's out.

PTC 5/20/2016 35x Calls, 2221@$0.9499
MV: $0.2M | $Not.: $3.1M | OI: 102 | 139.0% TotalOI
20.0% StockVolume | 67.8% OptionVolume



April 21st, 2016 12:54:57 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Picking up $BMRN as well now to add to the Healthcare/Biotech theme.
807 unique view(s)

April 20th, 2016

April 20th, 2016 11:33:31 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Brazil/Energy theme doing great again. $PBR opened down but up 1.5% now and above $7. Names like $EEP, $ETP still breaking out on Trendlines and other older strategies with energy sector overall up 1.5%.
818 unique view(s)

April 19th, 2016

April 19th, 2016 7:14:59 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Another strong day for Brazil/Energy after pullback yesterday morning. Mainly holding $PBR (+6%) but $VALE, $EEP, and other past names also rallying.

$PBR now up 20% since re-entry a few weeks back.
April 19th, 2016 7:22:05 AM PST
Posted by hpatner | #
hpatner (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Thanks.
What does BOT! mean?
April 19th, 2016 7:32:38 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
The orange BOT signals mean Tech Trader sees it as potential V-shaped bottom.  The red ones are longer term, meaning it may just flatten out but is essentially where Tech Trader thinks is a floor for the stock.  Note that it doesn't mean it necessarily gets traded, just part of Tech Trader's thought process amongst many other things it draws on the charts.
April 19th, 2016 9:03:39 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Large 1M share buy on $MNST that just pushed the price a couple dollars. Similar trade on it last week as well.
808 unique view(s)

April 18th, 2016

April 18th, 2016 12:50:49 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Massive volume spike on $INCR on older strategy. Similar spike in $CVT before 65% jump today.
INCR
April 18th, 2016 12:58:47 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Whoever bought $INCR in that one trade pushed the stock up over 10% briefly.


$CVT from last week for comparison.
April 18th, 2016 1:19:32 PM PST
Posted by rppp | #
rppp (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Funny the news that moved it was potential talks with LabCorp …

R--
836 unique view(s)

April 15th, 2016

April 15th, 2016 12:52:47 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Taking gains on many energy names into week end. Main one holding is $PBR, ironically most tied to Brazil impeachment situation.  The timing is pretty amazing as this is basically Tech Trader reducing exposure before the vote on Sunday.




April 15th, 2016 1:16:37 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Here is the news on Brazil and $PBR for those who aren't following as closely.  Again, pretty amazing that we're taking gains off the table right into the vote on Sunday while keeping the one name literally in the center of the impeachment scandal.
http://www.wsj.com/articles/rousseff-asks-brazil-supreme-court-to-suspend-impeachment-process-1460664902
833 unique view(s)

April 13th, 2016

April 13th, 2016 9:51:01 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Another strong day for Brazil/Oil trade. $VALE from yesterday already up 8%, $PBR up 3%. $XLE itself not up that much, so Brazil is definitely the bigger factor.
843 unique view(s)

April 12th, 2016

April 12th, 2016 8:11:50 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Adding to last month's long Brazil/Oil theme with $VALE to the existing $PBR, $MUR, $EEP, $EQT. Tech Trader is still overall very neutral in exposure (55% long, 40% short), but it'll be interesting to see if this starts to change and especially if it's via energy bets.  You can see in the sector exposure chart at the bottom that Energy is now leading for both most exposure (still a modest 20%) and marginally the most P&L for the year (excluding ETFs).



April 12th, 2016 1:23:57 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Big day for Brazil/Energy. $VALE, $PBR, $MUR, $EEP, $EQT all up 5-10%. $XLE and other energy names breaking out on trendlines, volume spikes, and other older strategies, which is very bullish on the sector.
April 12th, 2016 1:36:02 PM PST
Posted by twgarry | #
twgarry (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Totally agree.  Great work!

Sent from my iPhone

>
888 unique view(s)

April 6th, 2016

April 6th, 2016 1:06:41 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Healthcare theme playing out well from last week.  $MDVN, $BSX, $EGRX, and even an older one $INSY each up 2-7%.
911 unique view(s)

April 4th, 2016

April 4th, 2016 9:40:14 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
$WWE, which had a bullish risk reversal on April 18x calls/puts last week, is in rumors to have a buyout offer.  This is the options activity from last week:
WWE 4/15/2016 18x Calls, 1655@$0.8999
MV: $0.1M | $Not.: $1.4M | OI: 1094 | 8.6% TotalOI
22.8% StockVolume | 27.3% OptionVolume
Leg: WWE 4/15/2016 18x Puts, 1655 on OI of 2516
WWE
942 unique view(s)

April 1st, 2016

April 1st, 2016 6:48:30 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
$OMF, which had Apr 31x call buying, just sold 47% stake in SpringCastle. See if this is the news the buyer wanted.
OMF
April 1st, 2016 10:23:55 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
$XLB bought on intraday bottom signal this morning at $44.27. $XLE probably correlated. Only one again, not the usual flurry of 3-5 signals.
April 1st, 2016 12:32:21 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Already out of $XLB at $45.  Again, intraday swings so extreme this year that Tech Trader is daytrading these moves.
918 unique view(s)

March 31st, 2016

March 31st, 2016 1:13:06 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Activity in individual stocks picking up. $BSX, $EGRX, $MDVN all bought this week. $WUBA, $FNGN, $KBWB shorted.  $OMF rebought this month after already trading it last month.

Overall positioning looks like a continuation of the long Brazil/oil theme but now also with healthcare while selectively buying and shorting financial names.  It seems like there's a lot of anticipation on catalysts coming up on many of these names ranging from healthcare events to potential acquisitions on other names.


March 31st, 2016 12:23:20 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Market slightly down but $OMF up almost 4% today. Still holding due to April call buying.
March 31st, 2016 12:47:22 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Short $KBWB on $2.4M bearish risk reversal for May. Interesting as pair trade against long $OMF; both bank related.

KBWB 6/17/2016 33x Puts, 18000@$1.35
MV: $2.4M | $Not.: $28.1M | OI: 0 | 9,424.1% TotalOI
1,227.9% StockVolume | 50.0% OptionVolume
Leg: KBWB 6/17/2016 33x Calls, 18000 on OI of 0
951 unique view(s)

March 30th, 2016

March 30th, 2016 8:40:40 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Brazil trade working out especially well today after Fed again. Names like $PBR up above $6 now from Tech Trader's entry around $5.
PBR
March 30th, 2016 12:56:39 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
$WUBA getting shorted on about $1M in May put buying.  Some of you follow China markets closely, so I thought this would be of interest.

WUBA 5/20/2016 55x Puts, 2042@$3.5
MV: $0.7M | $Not.: $4.8M | OI: 47 | 7.9% TotalOI
14.3% StockVolume | 40.1% OptionVolume
1005 unique view(s)

March 24th, 2016

March 24th, 2016 7:26:52 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Tech Trader coming alive again w/ an intraday bottom on $XLK at $43.35.  Only one so far - like first shots fired to test the waters.


More interestingly, Tech Trader's 100% hitrate once-in-a-blue-moon SPY buy signal might trigger today as well.  All of us here are watching excitingly to see if we'll get yet another signal this year only 3 months into the year, which is very unusual and points to just how different the current market is from the last few years.
March 24th, 2016 1:26:28 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Looks like that $XLK signal was enough for the market to rally back to the close.  Little disappointing, but we'll see if the market gives us a second chance to buy next week.
1096 unique view(s)

March 18th, 2016

March 18th, 2016 6:39:37 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
The long Brazil and $AMD themes continuing strongly from yesterday.  Last one we're waiting on is $INSY (marijuana) with its conference today.
AMD
March 18th, 2016 6:48:01 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Funny but not serious note is $VRX (Valeant) has a short-term buy on an older RSI strategy at $29.5 with a target price of $45; not traded but interesting to watch, as that strategy has a 80% hitrate on all its signals.

March 18th, 2016 8:17:25 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Ton of bullish trendline breaks this week. This just from today: $ASNA $DWA $FLT $FIVE $HR $L $NAVI $NGL $RDN $SFM $SMLP $SWFT $TGI $TSLA $UNP

These from past few days: $APD $BAM $BKE $CBI $CBL $CCJ $CPA $D $D $DKS $DOV $DYN $E $ENLC $EPE $EQM $EQM $EQT $FCE-A $FLEX $GGP $GPK $HES $HPP $IBN $KT $KYN $LBTYA $LPI $LPT $LSTR $MAC $NFG $NS $OPK $PH $RRD $SCCO $SHOO $SNE $SRE $SRE $STLD $SU $TSL $TU $UNF $UNFI $UNFI $UPS $WBC $WPC $WYN $XLE $XPO

Normally very bullish when you get huge clusters like this.  Again, older strategy not traded but good to monitor.

March 18th, 2016 9:08:09 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
And there goes $INSY, just jumped 6% to $18 and still going.
March 18th, 2016 11:01:22 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Tech Trader back into $OMF on the same April call buying, this time at $31 strike.  Seems like someone is really betting on it going above $30 by next month.  Funny stock to watch because it always has 10% up days after it pulls back.
OMF 4/15/2016 31x Calls, 5000@$1.0499
MV: $0.5M | $Not.: $5.0M | OI: 0 | 19.9% TotalOI
24.3% StockVolume | 46.6% OptionVolume
1063 unique view(s)

March 17th, 2016

March 17th, 2016 6:51:43 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Brazil theme finally playing out in size after Fed, with names like PBR, ITUB, and EWZ up 8-10% a piece today.  AMD also up 5% on talks about Intel licensing their GPU patents.  Last theme to watch would be the marijuana one with INSY, which is presenting at a conference tomorrow.
1027 unique view(s)

March 16th, 2016

March 16th, 2016 8:20:37 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Been a rather uneventful couple of months, but it looks like Tech Trader is finally building a couple themes here, first with Brazil (note that it cut ITUB and RIO though), then marijuana (INSY), and now potentially virtual reality with AMD.  These are longer medium term plays, so we'll see how these play out.