Market down over 1.5% now with Tech Trader still essentially flat.  Really stoked for next week to see if we get one last once-in-a-blue-moon SPY buy signal before end of year.

Market giving back most of the gains from yesterday (down almost 1%) while Tech Trader is down 0.1%, literally 50% in cash.


Tech Trader actually getting even more neutral here and slowly picking up shorts in Financials, two notable names today FIS on the breakout/breakdown strategy and AJG on an older discontinued but still interesting to note Trendlines strategy.  Another interesting name on the older Trendlines strategy would be EYES breaking to the upside.

Tech Trader up almost 2% today while SPY up 1.4% after Fed.  This and Tech Trader is only 50% long by 15% short (50% in cash) after scaling out of its ETF positions yesterday.  MTD maintaining its 3% lead above SPY and YTD at new highs.

The best part is that the bulk of performance came not from the market rally but from individual names (HPY, FSLR, HAIN...) that each had idiosyncratic news.

Tech Trader up massive today after perfect timing of buying nearly every ETF when SPY was at $201.  SPY now above $205.  Nearly every ETF bought up above 2% each.  Clean and simple trade - scaling out gradually now.

SPY already back to $202.  SPY close to flat for the day and IWM still down while Tech Trader is already up a quarter percent.





Nearly every sector ETF also got bought on intraday bottoms.

Each time the market sells off sharply, Tech Trader yet again outperforms the market and shows why it positioned 30-40% cash since November while being very hedged in remaining positions (60% long by 20% short).  Today, the market is down over a percent and Tech Trader is down less than half a percent.


Biggest winners today are again short names in energy/oil which have been set up for a while.  OAS has been closed out, but KOLD (short natgas) and more recently short WFT are now main proxies for this. 

KOLD, which we thought was insane for Tech Trader to project $200 target price on from $150 a couple weeks ago, is now $190.

Original signal below:
KOLD 1/15/2016 200x Calls, 300@$6.4
MV: $0.2M | $Not.: $1.1M | OI: 0 | 11.8% TotalOI
87.8% StockVolume | 43.7% OptionVolume

More recently, WFT was shorted at $9.20 due to someone buying $3.4M in premium on Feb 9x puts; WFT is already below $9 now.

Original signal below:
WFT 2/19/2016 9x Puts, 30000@$1.12
MV: $3.4M | $Not.: $11.0M | OI: 14389 | 11.0% TotalOI
40.3% StockVolume | 53.2% OptionVolume

Month to date for Dec, Tech Trader is down slightly but now holding over a 1.5% lead on SPY with half the volatility and 0.34 beta.  Personally hoping we sell off more so we can get our once-in-a-blue-moon RSI2 SPY signal again and just kill it for the end of year.

Market open down slightly today but oil and other energy-related instruments are down a lot again.  Really good for our positioning in KOLD (short natgas) and OAS (short oil).

Oil getting crushed now due to OPEC not cutting.  Tech Trader positioned beautifully by being hugely short oil/energy names while being net long overall in tech and other names least affected by oil.  The icing on the cake is SPY is actually up almost a percent today as well while oil/energy names are down almost 10% a piece.

Naturally you see Tech Trader's long and short positions both doing very well today.


Month-to-date, Tech Trader continues to outperform SPY by a percent with half the volatility.

Going to be awesome if we can get yet another once-in-a-blue-moon RSI2 SPY bottom. Supposed to only happen a couple times a year and we've already had 3 in 2015.  Price has to get below $206 first though to start be considered.

Very strong day.  Tech Trader up 1% while SPY is flat or down.  Tech Trader is again (since November) actually 75% long by 25% short, meaning it's leaving a lot in cash while being pretty tight exposure wise, but it's still managing to catch most the return of SPY the last couple days w/o the beta.  If the market sells off, we actually do better because Tech Trader has been shorting a lot of retail and oil names (KOLD, OAS, HAS...) while being long tech/cybersecurity/internet (PANW, BABA, NFLX...).

A lot of suspicious options buying today.  Very strange.  $1M lots in options on CCL, CPB.

CCL 1/15/2016 55x Calls, 17800@$0.75
MV: $1.3M | $Not.: $22.5M | OI: 9492 | 29.1% TotalOI
31.7% StockVolume | 80.2% OptionVolume

CPB 2/19/2016 50x Puts, 10997@$0.9499
MV: $1.0M | $Not.: $16.4M | OI: 408 | 53.3% TotalOI
22.0% StockVolume | 82.3% OptionVolume

Very incredible day.  Tech Trader's once-in-a-blue-moon RSI2 SPY signal is finally out of its position, and there is literally no better price it could have done so.  It's been one of the longer held trades for sure, but we basically rallied all the way up to $209 today, which was actually Tech Trader's original target price before TT took its gains.  Again, in the face of rate increase, terrorist attacks, and even the Fed minutes which sparked the late-day rally today, Tech Trader's hitrate on this strategy remains 100%.


The funniest part about all this is I spent most the trading day looking for WiFi spots in HK (disgusting place to wander at night, really).  Fate and Irony at its best when I physically cannot trade and Tech Trader is just killing it without me.  The weekly calls on SPY I put on with TT yesterday were exploding all day with me nowhere in sight (but under the care of Tech Trader of course).

Performance from Tech Trader on today alone.  Needless to say SPY singlehandedly contributed more than 1% to the portfolio.


Year-to-date, Tech Trader is again back to highs, with the small dip being the November sell off.  Sector-wise, ETFs are quickly becoming among the top contributers to performance, meaning trading SPY just these 3 or so times this year has been almost as much P&L as trading an entire sector all year long.

Ah it's like someone heard our call.  Market closed just shy of Tech Trader's exit target.  We'll be fighting for at least another day.

Very interesting day though.  It seems like right around mid-day, someone of size started liquidating heavily.  Anyone who trades intraday can see that there were a lot of attempts to rally only for someone to sell into each one.  If it were the general market sentiment, you wouldn't see such sustained sell pressure every time the market attempted to bounce; it'd be much more choppy.

Also having a lot of fun on my end daytrading the heck out of this market.  Been a long time, but I'm starting to get back into the hang of things, especially with Tech Trader as sort of my guide for where to aim my trading (target prices, etc).

A ton of scalping and scaling, but it feels great to be back.  Also just loving trading from Asia. You trade at night and live during the day.  It's like your days are twice as long.  A taste of my trades from just the last two days lol

Amazing day.  Tech Trader's RSI2 SPY signal was a day early but nonetheless we got our huge rally as to be expected.  The RSI2 SPY's 100% hitrate remains intact!

Originally it wanted to exit at $209 on the first day and then $207 today; we got pretty close but no dice.  Tomorrow it'll exit end of day above $205, so it's pretty much one day left for this trade.  It can still very well get its original target prices since it waits the day out.  We'll see.  This has admittedly been one of the bumpier signals this year.


And on a day like this, you can easily guess the sole driver of the majority of P&L today.

Once-in-a-blue-moon SPY RSI2 signal back on to buy at the close.  Looks like Tech Trader is getting a better price as a result of waiting a couple days.  Target price of $208.8, which for whatever reason someone has a call option with that strike for tomorrow (am I being watched? ).  

 Fate and Irony as usual.

SPY RSI2 ("bluemoon") signal is back again (pending end-of-day).  So much happening already only two weeks into the month.  Hope this holds into close.  Go figure it happens yet *again* when one of us is on a flight (me to Japan).  Literally, if you go back on every SPY signal, that has been the day of or after one of us was on flight.

Options Bets skyrocketing again, with HZNP up another 10%.  Have one thorn in our side from AEGR but largely offset by other gains.  

Overall a strong month so far relative to SPY selling off and accelerating that downtrend.  Our beta is now -.18 despite being 71% net long (132% long by 61% short).

Options-based positions bringing in a lot of idiosyncratic alpha today from names like HZNP (25% up today, bought from call activity a few weeks ago), ENDP (6%), and a few others.  Tech Trader is slowly adding intraday bottom positions in XLU and other ETFs but very slowly (1 today, 1 a few days ago, etc).  Very nice to be holding steady for the first week of the month while SPY declines gradually.  Our beta since launch MTD is 0.2.