pftq's Stocks and Investing

Trading Guide

Tech Trader

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57 unique view(s)

July 21st, 2015

July 21st, 2015 5:46:14 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
lol we actually have SPY down and IWM up right now.  Even if Tech Trader shorted SPY yesterday in addition to its long IWM, both would have worked out.
58 unique view(s)

July 20th, 2015

July 20th, 2015 7:00:27 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
30-min bottom signal just picked up on IWM at $124.81.
IWM on Tech Trader
July 20th, 2015 7:42:20 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Looks like it might to sell BMRN today.
BMRN on Tech Trader
July 20th, 2015 12:21:19 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Tech Trader continuing to reduce gross and take gains.  Now 54% long by 25% short (29% net long)
July 20th, 2015 9:27:07 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Wow, I waited all year for Tech Trader to flag SPY as a buy and I get a potential short now instead.  It says SPY is overbought near resistance.  Definitely wait till close to confirm.  What a strange year.
July 20th, 2015 11:51:46 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Lost the short signal on SPY to the end of day sell off.  Still looks bearish IMO, but we needed SPY above $212.90 to be nice enough an entry for shorting.
July 20th, 2015 7:02:35 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
What the crap... IWM just shot up to $125.54.  Good thing it's automated.  Too fast for me
July 20th, 2015 7:49:47 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
LVLT August 60x calls getting bid up a lot if anyone wants to take a deeper look.  10k calls traded when OI is 1k.
July 20th, 2015 9:13:40 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Those calls are $.95 now.
July 20th, 2015 11:23:07 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
What's very odd about the LVLT calls is that the bid/ask is rising even as the stock is pulling back.  .95x1.00 now
56 unique view(s)

July 17th, 2015

July 17th, 2015 6:02:36 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Those ELNK July 8x calls from a couple weeks back are now ITM on day of expiration.  Such an insane trade.
49 unique view(s)

July 16th, 2015

July 16th, 2015 10:03:07 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Tech Trader again outperforming the market (SPY at .6%, TT at .7%) despite exposures being way down (long 60% and short 30%).  Biggest winner today is not even a long name but a short (GRMN down 8%).

GRMN on Tech Trader
July 16th, 2015 10:38:42 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Here's recent performance by sector.  Mostly profit taking in healthcare.  You can see HC P&L going up the last few days while exposure in the sector has nosedived.
45 unique view(s)

July 14th, 2015

July 14th, 2015 10:20:52 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
RCPT breaking above $200.  Tech Trader making good calls here to stay long.
RCPT on Tech Trader
July 14th, 2015 12:40:30 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Tech Trader sold NFLX last Friday on the doji top, so it's out before the split (though with no knowledge of it).

I'd just get out of AMZN if there is no good trade to roll into.  These trades are all idiosyncratic, so there is no need for the mindset that you need to be in all or no trades.

Also, Tech Trader is closing out a lot of positions.  Exposures are going way down right now.  Exited RCPT on potential resistance, but it can easily buy back in again tomorrow if it breaks.  The same goes for everything else it's closing out.  Just very nimble and tactical here.
July 14th, 2015 8:29:28 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
ELNK finally waking up. Been waiting on it for a few weeks since it got huge call buying in the July 8x.
July 14th, 2015 1:25:25 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
RCPT being taken out at $232/share.
52 unique view(s)

July 13th, 2015

July 13th, 2015 6:42:04 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Tech Trader closed its last intraday bottom trades on the bounce today.  Looks like its back to chasing Healthcare names.  That sector is the primary source of P&L for Tech Trader today.  It's looking to add more names like STJ at the close.
51 unique view(s)

July 10th, 2015

July 10th, 2015 5:41:28 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Tech Trader up another percent today, a ton from the intraday bottom signals it picked up yesterday.
61 unique view(s)

July 9th, 2015

July 9th, 2015 6:26:15 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Tech Trader up 0.7% overall while SPY is pretty much flat.  Outperforming on both up and down days.  AAPL getting crushed in the tech sector, but Tech Trader's tech names are doing best today.



Also just rotated out of its XOP long position (3.8% gain) for more intraday bottom signals in FXI and XLB.  Still holding SMH on intraday bottom from a couple days ago.  Again, no daily or longer term positions yet from Tech Trader.  We're also not getting the usual orange bottom signals which are more potent and time sensitive; the red ones are less exact and more "wait-and-see" so it's another sign that Tech Trader is very cautious here.


https://stocks.techtrader.ai/?pair=FXI
FXI on Tech Trader

https://stocks.techtrader.ai/?pair=XLB
XLB on Tech Trader
July 9th, 2015 6:30:38 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
It just got intraday bottom on IBB as well.  Again, only intraday scalps, not higher conviction daily signals.
https://stocks.techtrader.ai/?pair=IBB
IBB on Tech Trader
July 9th, 2015 12:23:16 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Market is flat? Meanwhile Tech Trader... up 0.7% today, with Tech names being the biggest contributers.
July 9th, 2015 6:46:23 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
I'd rather have the flurry of daily signals. This is more like scalping for quick gains in an uncertain environment.
58 unique view(s)

July 8th, 2015

July 8th, 2015 10:10:32 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Sell off today finally across all sectors in Tech Trader's portfolio and not just in Tech.


Still no daily bottom or RSI signals. I think that is most interesting and clearly shows how Tech Trader is different from quant or other algo systems. There are a couple 30 min bottoms (SMH today and XOP yesterday) but very timid compared to the massive cluster of daily time frame buys I used to see in 2012, 2013, 2014.

While all other algos might be buying the dip, Tech Trader is side-stepping this entirely and actually continuing to get shorter (64% net long now vs its 88% average).  Its performance despite being net long is barely hampered by the current sell off.
July 8th, 2015 11:06:53 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Sell off today finally across all sectors in Tech Trader's portfolio today and not just in Tech.
July 8th, 2015 12:12:08 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
SPY down 1.6%, EEM down 3.5%.  Tech Trader down 1.2% and still pretty much unlevered now (106% long vs 42% short).


It's as if it's waiting for the daily bottoms to come in before getting very long again.  None of this is even coded; it just ends up behaving this way.
July 8th, 2015 10:13:01 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
I have a handful of quants and algo guys telling me their stuff is getting killed right now and that reversion is impossible in this environment.
96 unique view(s)

July 7th, 2015

July 7th, 2015 7:30:24 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
The sell off today, for Tech Trader at least, is almost exclusively the Technology sector.  Same as it has been for the last several weeks.  No other sector is moving anywhere near as much.


Re: consumer exposures, see below.  Even though the market is down a percent, the biggest gainers in the consumer sector are actually long positions.


More shorts lined up to be added today as well: CRUS, UL, etc.  It's also selling more longs again to further reduce net exposure.  Looks like Tech Trader is expecting a prolonged sell off here.
July 7th, 2015 9:31:40 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Tech Trader nailed the XOP bottom.  So glad I have this automated.  I was on the freaking subway for the past hour.
XOP on Tech Trader
July 7th, 2015 10:01:32 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
The consumer names from this morning are up an average of a percent now, with the market still flat/down.  Top performers AEO, HT, and GES.
July 7th, 2015 12:01:37 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
It bought back RCPT now.
July 7th, 2015 9:58:28 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Tech Trader is positive now after being down a percent in the morning.  What an insane day...
July 7th, 2015 11:20:17 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
There goes XOP over $45...
89 unique view(s)

July 6th, 2015

July 6th, 2015 2:53:00 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
This thread that hasn't been posted in for almost 3 years is revived...

Some very cool observations with Tech Trader below to start:
- Tech Trader covered GM and shorted FCAU last week.
- Tech Trader has shorted 7 names in the past week and significantly trimmed long exposure.  RSI and bottom signals are quiet, as if it knows the market is shaky right now (covered EEM almost immediately on last week's bounce).  You can even see the exposure curves visibly tighten in the chart (longs going down, shorts rising):

- The names Tech Trader *is* buying now are all least likely to be affected by Greece: healthcare, consumer, etc.
- Market opened down as much as 1% today.  Tech Trader was up while being net-long.  End of discussion.
121 unique view(s)

December 31st, 2012

December 31st, 2012 10:07:47 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
Sigh, my program is beating me.  I'm now obsolete.
https://www.pftq.com/stock_sys...
119 unique view(s)

December 20th, 2012

December 20th, 2012 7:56:50 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
My Tech Trader program now automatically posts its trades to my virtual trading site as well.  Useful for me to keep track of what it's doing from my phone and whatnot.
https://www.pftq.com/stock_sys...

It's pretty much like another person trading my account for me now lol

Meanwhile comprehensive strategy is still short on SPY.  Will be hilarious if the next sell off coincides with the end of the world prediction date (12/21/2012).
129 unique view(s)

December 17th, 2012

December 17th, 2012 7:02:47 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
Updated bollinger bands to highlight pinches in bold red.  Looks like we're forming one on SPY right now as well.  Should be interesting.


Also tentative long on LRCX based on trendlines.
132 unique view(s)

December 14th, 2012

December 14th, 2012 3:11:48 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
Finally done with finals here - haven't looked at anything all week and still slowly taking things in haha Grin

Comprehensive strat on SPY is still short.  Great bounce down from resistance, love how we sold off from QE announcement again.  MACD is still bullish though and the volume isn't strongly indicative of a top.


Automated trades did ok, about flat this week with a mix of losses/gains.  Need to restrict the number of RSI trades since a lot of them seemed correlated (right together, wrong together,).  Trendline break trades helped even things out for the most part, namely trades on MU, AMRN, A, and DKS.  FCX didn't play out at all - probably should put a filter on gap-downs (actually  have one on the strat but it's for extreme % gap-downs, which didn't trigger on FCX).



125 unique view(s)

December 7th, 2012

December 7th, 2012 5:59:03 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
Not much change in market conditions so far, just more stocks continuing to run up against resistance and geting flagged as short opportunities.  Am prepared to flip long if they break though.



124 unique view(s)

December 6th, 2012

December 6th, 2012 5:31:42 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says in Stocks Daily Discussion...
Only one new trade today from the automation.  FCX Dec. 31x Puts at $1.20