1181 unique view(s)
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Charts and analysis also available for: Stocks, Cryptocurrencies
rppp (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Exactly why I asked. The chatter in the news media is that Soros has a “big put bet” However Techtrader doesn’t read news which in this case is great.
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
We have a massive 'risk on' rally today (high beta is outperforming low
beta by over 2%). USD is down after a 10-day rally. You must have a high
exposure to Oil and Beta which is saving you today.
beta by over 2%). USD is down after a 10-day rally. You must have a high
exposure to Oil and Beta which is saving you today.
1156 unique view(s)
May 16th, 2016
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
$AAPL flagging a bottom as well as being near multi-year-support. Older less-used algorithm but interesting to note nonetheless.
1165 unique view(s)
May 13th, 2016
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Tech Trader continuing to get longer here, almost 100% long by 30% short. Biggest bets are Consumer, Energy, and then Healthcare. Most interesting names in the last few days are $MON, $STRZA, and $EGRX, which are getting increased buying activity in both stock and options after the initial signals. Tech Trader overall is getting much more idiosyncratic in its bets with long Consumer names like $YELP and $WWAV but also short Consumer names like $MFRM and $DNKN.
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
As I expected, Chinese loan data came out well below consensus. Credit conditions are tightening. Not good for risk.
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1134 unique view(s)
May 11th, 2016
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Tech Trader's been gradually rotating back into Energy this week: $PBR, $EQT, $FTI, $SM
Looks like it was a play into the oil report today, which caused the energy sector to flip from negative to positive this morning.
Tech Trader overall (if you look at the chart from yesterday) is now mainly long Energy, Consumer, and Healthcare. Again, exposures are at year highs now with longs at 96% and shorts at 33%.
$PBR and $EQT are old favorites of Tech Trader; been in and out of those since March. $FTI and $SM are new ones picked up from risk reversal activity in the options market.
Looks like it was a play into the oil report today, which caused the energy sector to flip from negative to positive this morning.
Tech Trader overall (if you look at the chart from yesterday) is now mainly long Energy, Consumer, and Healthcare. Again, exposures are at year highs now with longs at 96% and shorts at 33%.
$PBR and $EQT are old favorites of Tech Trader; been in and out of those since March. $FTI and $SM are new ones picked up from risk reversal activity in the options market.
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Chinese data is not out yet. The oil number is bullish but not clear how much of the draw is due to wildfires in Canada. Let's see if Oil holds its gains into close.
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1142 unique view(s)
May 10th, 2016
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Out of $SPY now but still very long with $PAH, $WWAV, $EGRX, and many other names finally playing out after months of consolidation. Tech Trader remains 90% long by 30% short, the most invested we've been all year since going 60% cash in November. I expect this will continue into the end of Q2 with many people who expect seasonal weakness to be disappointed. If you look at the charts below, many names we have are just now starting to break to the upside.
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Good luck. Tomorrow's Oil report and Chinese data later this week would set up the tone. I expect loan data from China to be weak. Today buyback window is reopened, so we have incremental buying from fundamental insensitive players.
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1116 unique view(s)
May 7th, 2016
twgarry (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Nice call on yelp
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zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Good luck. Very important trade data out of China would be released this weekend. If exports miss, I expect continuation of weakness for the rest of the month. And then we have June- very weak seasonal.
Second, USD move last week was quite extreme, seasonality for USD in May is very bullish, so likely we would see more strength in USD, which could keep market rebounds contained.
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Second, USD move last week was quite extreme, seasonality for USD in May is very bullish, so likely we would see more strength in USD, which could keep market rebounds contained.
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zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Expecting a selloff on Monday. See the link below
http://www.wsj.com/articles/weak-demand-dents-chinas-exports-1462685934
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http://www.wsj.com/articles/weak-demand-dents-chinas-exports-1462685934
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956 unique view(s)
May 6th, 2016
899 unique view(s)
May 3rd, 2016
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Did you get another Buy signal? Or more pain tomorrow?
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pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
No signals today, just holding.
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Tomorrow European and Chinese services PMIs are going to be released which could impact USD. DoE oil report would probably be a market mover too. Gasoline inventory component would be important as well as rate of production decline. USD moved a lot today and weaker international data along with weak Oil report could add to further USD strength causing more weakness for equities. Stronger PMI data would weaken USD and cause a rebound in equities.
Good luck.
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Good luck.
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pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Great color and information, thanks.
865 unique view(s)
May 2nd, 2016
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Tech Trader's once-in-a-blue-moon $SPY signal keeps its 100% hitrate intact yet again. $SPY at $208 from $206.6; current target price is $208.2, which isn't far off. Probably an exit at end of day or tomorrow. The signal normally only happens a few times a year, yet this is our third one a few months into 2016. Very interesting times. So unreal every time we get this signal, but it never fails (knock on wood).
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Nice! It did rally despite negative Chinese data and weak Oil. Good job!
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twgarry (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Great job! Love this signal!
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914 unique view(s)
April 29th, 2016
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Will,
Did you get RSI2 buy on SPY?
Thanks!
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Did you get RSI2 buy on SPY?
Thanks!
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pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
The once-in-a-blue-moon RSI $SPY buy signal triggered at $206.60. The big one is a go!
Again, this signal only happens a few times a year and has a 100% hitrate since inception.
Again, this signal only happens a few times a year and has a 100% hitrate since inception.
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
max.podlone (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
A picnic? During market hours? Sheesh…
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Good luck with signals. Macro funds are throwing everything today to contain a selloff. They are buying oil to have market supported. Let's see what happens on Monday!
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zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Cool! Good luck. Chinese PMI data is out on Saturday and estimated Saudi oil production data will be released.
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817 unique view(s)
April 27th, 2016
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
$EQT (energy) finally really moving up after a $1M Sept. 75x risk reversal was bought last month. $PBR (Brazil) also continuing higher as usual. It's almost like Tech Trader chose to keep only its best names during its rotation out of the Brazil/Energy trade. On a side note, some of the older RSI2 strategies are calling a short-term bottom to $IBB, so we might see the Biotech/Healthcare trade pick up again as well, which Tech Trader started entering the last few weeks. It's a constant ebb and flow between Energy names performing for us and then Biotech names performing for us.
EQT 9/16/2016 75x Calls, 4000@$2.5999
MV: $1.0M | $Not.: $7.2M | OI: 37 | 41.5% TotalOI
50.5% StockVolume | 49.8% OptionVolume
Leg: EQT 9/16/2016 50x Puts, 4000 on OI of 57
EQT 9/16/2016 75x Calls, 4000@$2.5999
MV: $1.0M | $Not.: $7.2M | OI: 37 | 41.5% TotalOI
50.5% StockVolume | 49.8% OptionVolume
Leg: EQT 9/16/2016 50x Puts, 4000 on OI of 57
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Someone bought $5M in June 50x puts on $DISH. Pretty massive size especially given the almost non-existent OI across most the options on this stock. As mentioned before, it's interesting that Tech Trader seems to almost only buy energy and healthcare names while broadly shorting most everything else.
DISH 6/17/2016 50x Puts, 13000@$2.45
MV: $3.2M | $Not.: $30.3M | OI: 6303 | 17.6% TotalOI
56.4% StockVolume | 55.1% OptionVolume
DISH 6/17/2016 50x Puts, 13000@$2.45
MV: $3.2M | $Not.: $30.3M | OI: 6303 | 17.6% TotalOI
56.4% StockVolume | 55.1% OptionVolume
756 unique view(s)
April 26th, 2016
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Yet another large call buying in $OMF, this time 33 strike. Someone is constantly betting this is going to recover from the lows. This is probably the 3rd of 4th signal we've gotten to buy this stock.
OMF 5/20/2016 33x Calls, 2100@$1.5
MV: $0.3M | $Not.: $2.9M | OI: 134 | 17.7% TotalOI
30.0% StockVolume | 55.1% OptionVolume
OMF 5/20/2016 33x Calls, 2100@$1.5
MV: $0.3M | $Not.: $2.9M | OI: 134 | 17.7% TotalOI
30.0% StockVolume | 55.1% OptionVolume
821 unique view(s)
April 22nd, 2016
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
$PBR up another 7%; only Brazil name left and it's the strongest. Also just shorted $RIO on $1.6M in put buying, effectively betting both sides equally in Brazil now. The put activity is below. This is definitely a rotation from Tech Trader's massively long Brazil theme last month.
RIO 6/17/2016 32.5x Puts, 9404@$1.7
MV: $1.6M | $Not.: $11.9M | OI: 347 | 7.1% TotalOI
32.3% StockVolume | 72.2% OptionVolume
$PBR trade up a total 25% now.
RIO 6/17/2016 32.5x Puts, 9404@$1.7
MV: $1.6M | $Not.: $11.9M | OI: 347 | 7.1% TotalOI
32.3% StockVolume | 72.2% OptionVolume
$PBR trade up a total 25% now.
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
835 unique view(s)
April 21st, 2016
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
An interesting trade is $PTC, despite it ending today. Someone bought $200k in calls right before today's 8% jump. The call buying Tech Trader picked up is below. Just shows that someone always knows the news before it's out.
PTC 5/20/2016 35x Calls, 2221@$0.9499
MV: $0.2M | $Not.: $3.1M | OI: 102 | 139.0% TotalOI
20.0% StockVolume | 67.8% OptionVolume
PTC 5/20/2016 35x Calls, 2221@$0.9499
MV: $0.2M | $Not.: $3.1M | OI: 102 | 139.0% TotalOI
20.0% StockVolume | 67.8% OptionVolume