Tech Trader up half a percent today despite the market being down.  Exposures are exactly 31% long by 31% short, over 60% in cash.  Both sides are making money thanks to names like being long NFLX and short XPO and SGEN.  Still no bottom signals yet.



Year-to-date putting even more distance between Tech Trader and the market (TT now still flat while the market down over 6%).

Another down day - 1% down on SPY - even though it opened with gap up; SPY is below $192 now, when it seemed strange enough that Tech Trader wasn't buying below $200.

Tech Trader again unaffected, flat for the day and continuing to remain 60% in cash, 38% long in mainly tech names, and 31% short in mainly consumer/financials.  Again, just very interesting that Tech Trader has yet to send any bottom signals on SPY or the sector ETFs; will be all the more exciting when it finally makes its first move, especially on the once-in-a-blue-moon RSI2 SPY signal.

Tech Trader closing the day down slightly at about half a percent, but it's nothing compared to the 2.4% the rest of the market is down.  Exposures are still very tight and actually getting tighter by shorting financial names today rather than trying to buy this dip.  Current exposures are now 35% long by 31% short (60% in cash).

The rest of us here are on the edge of our seats waiting for when Tech Trader finally fires off its bottom signals and more importantly, the once-in-a-blue-moon RSI2 SPY signal to put that 60% cash to use.

Tech Trader still refusing to buy this dip even after SPY got below $198 and is actually getting even more conservative by shorting DIS, SKX, and XPO at the close.  It'll be truly exciting when Tech Trader decides to buy SPY again on its once-in-a-blue-moon RSI2 signal.  Total exposure is now 31% long by 17% short with most longs being in tech and most shorts being in consumer.

Tech Trader is slightly up today despite the market being down almost 2%, thanks to strong stock selection catching NFLX today up 8%.


Year-to-date, Tech Trader is essentially flat while SPY has sold off 3%.

Interesting pair trade showing up on one of my older Trendline strategies - long WMT (Walmart) and short STNG (transportation).  Again, these are older ones no longer run automatically but still interesting to monitor and get more color on the markets.

Great start to the year.  Overall market down 1.5% (at one point down over 2%) with Tech Trader down only 0.2%, essentially flat, and slowly increasing long exposure with two new names so far (HYG and SIG). Still 35% long only by 18% short (>60% cash).

Tech Trader closed out 2015 with a very conservative long exposure of 39% and short exposure of 11%, a grand total of 13 names being held into the new year which is near the lowest exposure all year.  Overall, performance of the strategies in aggregate has been about 35% with a beta of 0.39, alpha of 31% vs S&P500 which was essentially flat.

Intraday bottom signals in XLV and IBB today.  Already holding SMH and XLB from Friday afternoon as well (those snuck in right before the close).  Personally hoping we keep going lower so we can really load up on more bottom signals before the bounce.

Market down almost a percent already; Tech Trader is again flat for the day and now holding 5% lead over SPY for the month.  Tech Trader's immediate move back to 50% in cash right on day of Fed announcement was essentially the high of the market and couldn't have been timed better.

Market giving back most of the gains from yesterday (down almost 1%) while Tech Trader is down 0.1%, literally 50% in cash.


Tech Trader actually getting even more neutral here and slowly picking up shorts in Financials, two notable names today FIS on the breakout/breakdown strategy and AJG on an older discontinued but still interesting to note Trendlines strategy.  Another interesting name on the older Trendlines strategy would be EYES breaking to the upside.

Tech Trader up almost 2% today while SPY up 1.4% after Fed.  This and Tech Trader is only 50% long by 15% short (50% in cash) after scaling out of its ETF positions yesterday.  MTD maintaining its 3% lead above SPY and YTD at new highs.

The best part is that the bulk of performance came not from the market rally but from individual names (HPY, FSLR, HAIN...) that each had idiosyncratic news.

Tech Trader up massive today after perfect timing of buying nearly every ETF when SPY was at $201.  SPY now above $205.  Nearly every ETF bought up above 2% each.  Clean and simple trade - scaling out gradually now.

Excellent day today.  Tech Trader came in with a flood of intraday bottom buys on nearly every sector/index ETF at $201 on SPY this morning; SPY just closed at $203.  Today, Tech Trader is up nearly a percent while SPY is up half that.  Lastly, Tech Trader is finally coming out of being 40% in cash only after it has missed the sell off in SPY.  Month-to-date, Tech Trader has almost a 3% lead over SPY performance with nowhere near the volatility/drawdown.  Great example today how we maintain performance while only being 0.4 beta.

Tech Trader's performance today (~1%):


Tech Trader vs SPY MTD (flat with SPY down almost 3%):

Each time the market sells off sharply, Tech Trader yet again outperforms the market and shows why it positioned 30-40% cash since November while being very hedged in remaining positions (60% long by 20% short).  Today, the market is down over a percent and Tech Trader is down less than half a percent.


Biggest winners today are again short names in energy/oil which have been set up for a while.  OAS has been closed out, but KOLD (short natgas) and more recently short WFT are now main proxies for this. 

KOLD, which we thought was insane for Tech Trader to project $200 target price on from $150 a couple weeks ago, is now $190.

Original signal below:
KOLD 1/15/2016 200x Calls, 300@$6.4
MV: $0.2M | $Not.: $1.1M | OI: 0 | 11.8% TotalOI
87.8% StockVolume | 43.7% OptionVolume

More recently, WFT was shorted at $9.20 due to someone buying $3.4M in premium on Feb 9x puts; WFT is already below $9 now.

Original signal below:
WFT 2/19/2016 9x Puts, 30000@$1.12
MV: $3.4M | $Not.: $11.0M | OI: 14389 | 11.0% TotalOI
40.3% StockVolume | 53.2% OptionVolume

Month to date for Dec, Tech Trader is down slightly but now holding over a 1.5% lead on SPY with half the volatility and 0.34 beta.  Personally hoping we sell off more so we can get our once-in-a-blue-moon RSI2 SPY signal again and just kill it for the end of year.

Market open down slightly today but oil and other energy-related instruments are down a lot again.  Really good for our positioning in KOLD (short natgas) and OAS (short oil).

Oil getting crushed now due to OPEC not cutting.  Tech Trader positioned beautifully by being hugely short oil/energy names while being net long overall in tech and other names least affected by oil.  The icing on the cake is SPY is actually up almost a percent today as well while oil/energy names are down almost 10% a piece.

Naturally you see Tech Trader's long and short positions both doing very well today.


Month-to-date, Tech Trader continues to outperform SPY by a percent with half the volatility.

Very strong day again.  Tech Trader down a bit at -0.5%, but SPY is down over a percent.  The stock selection really shines today with Tech Trader still being 75% long and 25% short (25% in actual cash).  Again Tech Trader is short a lot of retail and oil names (KOLD, OAS, HAS...) while being long tech/cybersecurity/internet (PANW, BABA, NFLX...).  We also just got an intraday bottom signal in XBI at the last hour; usually we get a couple more ETFs before the real bounce but we'll see.

Month-to-date Tech Trader is slightly positive vs SPY being down about 1.5%.  Situations like this show how Tech Trader outperforms the market while maintaining a low beta of 0.4.

My hope now is actually for the market to sell off further not only to really show Tech Trader's selection strength but to also get my highest conviction RSI2 SPY bottom signal, but it's only a hope.