pftq's Stocks and Investing

Trading Guide

Tech Trader


Virtual Trading System

Top Trader of the Week
» jagdaddy (+16.5%)
Top Virtual Traders All Time
1. pftq (+1815%)
2. andrew44 (+172.8%)
3. jagdaddy (+155.1%)
4. dragontrader (+137.1%)
5. aycweugsiqkommok (+132.7%)
6. shin (+80.2%)
7. slv400 (+43%)
8. RROBB (+36%)
9. Andrew (+25.4%)
10. StockTradingNoob (+23.9%)
Most Recent Trades
» Buy AEMD, $0.96
     by Straxus
» Sell Short NEE, $146.4
     by Straxus
» Buy to Cover SDOW, $28.58 (+0%)
     by Straxus
» Sell Short SDOW, $28.58
     by Straxus
» Buy to Cover WFM, $41.81 (+0%)
     by Straxus
» Sell Short WFM, $42.02
     by Straxus
» Sell STX, $41.02 (-20%)
     by Straxus
» Buy STX, $51.1
     by Straxus
» Sell KCG, $19.74 (+42%)
     by Straxus
» Buy TSLA, $304.4
     by jagdaddy
Updates by Tech Trader, a fully autonomous trading system with no human intervention.
Receive updates via Twitter @TechTraderAI or StockTwits @TechTraderAI.  
Charts and analysis also available for: Stocks, Cryptocurrencies
Viewing as guest. Login or Register.

851 unique view(s)

August 26th, 2016

August 26th, 2016 10:43:47 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Doesn't seem like much risk-off at all today. Defensive sectors like $XLU and $XLP are actually selling off hardest while everything else is holding up.
XLU
August 26th, 2016 1:46:56 PM PST
Posted by TimothyB | #
TimothyB (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Surprised TT hasn't bought into financials?
August 26th, 2016 5:20:54 PM PST
Posted by zonayev | #
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Yes  you are right. I expected Fed to be dovish but they came out hawkish, which caused repositioning and created this illusion of 'risk on'. High beta out performed low beta by 0.9% today and Momentum lost 0.35%. This is good for today but worse for next few weeks. I think we get a massive reversal and you want to own Utes and Staples. I am amazed how oil held up relative to USD move. It might be up for geopolitical reasons or it a fake reaction. Let's see on Monday. Next week will be interesting. I stayed defensive and even added. Good luck


Sent from my iPhone

>
August 26th, 2016 5:25:31 PM PST
Posted by zonayev | #
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
By the way look at EWZ and EEM. I was short since last week, as well as XBI. These are early signs of risk off. I am short IWM too which is flat since I shorted it but it does look weak and ready to break down soon. It is just my opinion.


Sent from my iPhone

>
August 26th, 2016 5:35:15 PM PST
Posted by zonayev | #
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
I recommend to be neutral or short Oil and energy stocks. Next Friday is NFP, which is expected to be strong, and if it is strong they could hike. USD would likely rally next week (normally the case after hawkish Fed) and Oil inventories in US are now turning up. Chinese demand is likely going to weaken since they are consuming less and exporting more. Geopolitical risk (Yemen threat for Saudi oil) keeps oil up which means it is overvalued relative to fundamentals.

Sent from my iPhone

>
793 unique view(s)

August 25th, 2016

August 25th, 2016 7:04:29 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Tech Trader dip buying a bunch of ETFs $SPY, $QQQ, $XBI before Fed, which seems to be the pattern now.
SPY on Tech Trader
August 25th, 2016 1:46:03 PM PST
Posted by zonayev | #
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Typical risk off reaction before Yellen develops as expected. I expect it gets more ugly.


Sent from my iPhone

>
730 unique view(s)

August 22nd, 2016

August 22nd, 2016 9:20:40 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Tech Trader's portfolio would appear bullish/pro-risk, but we are gaining each day even when the market is down. Biggest sector exposure remains Technology at 25%. However, biggest P&L is coming from Energy and biggest single name winner this month $CPE (Energy), followed by $YELP (Consumer). Oddly enough, $VRX is quickly becoming a big winner as well despite our horrible entry; both today and most of last week it was the biggest contributor in P&L on a daily basis.

August 22nd, 2016 8:52:44 AM PST
Posted by zonayev | #
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Risk off is playing out so far. EWZ is leading the pack lower. IWM is holding for its life but I see pockets of risk giving up.
TLT is nicely rebounding.


Sent from my iPhone

>
August 22nd, 2016 11:10:20 AM PST
Posted by zonayev | #
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Equities are still pro-risk. Cyclical rotation continues despite weakness in Oil. I think most people are short indices while not many are short individual equities. This should end badly.


Sent from my iPhone

>
August 22nd, 2016 4:36:53 PM PST
Posted by TimothyB | #
TimothyB (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Thanks Stefan.  Never pulled yhe trigger.


From my Android phone on T-Mobile. The first nationwide 4G network.

---
737 unique view(s)

August 19th, 2016

August 19th, 2016 1:47:09 PM PST
Posted by TimothyB | #
TimothyB (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Nice TT.  What did TT do with Hain?did it hold or dump?  Thanks for the updates.  I always pay attention to your posts!


From my Android phone on T-Mobile. The first nationwide 4G network.

---
August 19th, 2016 1:56:33 PM PST
Posted by TimothyB | #
TimothyB (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Thanks Stefan, yeah might be a good time for a trade.


From my Android phone on T-Mobile. The first nationwide 4G network.

---
August 19th, 2016 2:58:53 PM PST
Posted by zonayev | #
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Good job TT! It is a tough month for hedge funds.

I remain bearish for next week. My favorite shorts are IWM and EWZ. Expect a delayed risk off reaction next week. My favorite style is Price Momentum now. Its volatility fell 50% over past few weeks. We just need oil down and it works out. European banks are pulling back, Energy stocks sold off today, and bond yields are rising.





Sent from my iPhone

>
723 unique view(s)

August 17th, 2016

August 17th, 2016 8:37:17 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Tech Trader buying the dip into Fed with $EEM, $XLK, $XLY, and $XHB in addition to the $XLU and $XLP from yesterday.


August 17th, 2016 10:24:41 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Many ETFs already up sharply since TT's call. $XLU now up almost 1% after starting down this morning.
August 17th, 2016 12:47:49 PM PST
Posted by zonayev | #
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
I have positioned defensively on Monday. xLU would work for next 5-10 days. I am negative on IWM.


Sent from my iPhone

>
731 unique view(s)

August 16th, 2016

August 16th, 2016 10:15:42 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Tech Trader continuing to position more cautiously with shorts in $VRSN, $AEE and short term buys in $XLU, $XLP.  Gains in names like $PBR, $STM, and $RL also being taken.
VRSN
787 unique view(s)

August 12th, 2016

August 12th, 2016 6:45:33 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
$PBR up 3% on earnings miss, prob oil. $SOCL finally down. TT also 35% long tech. So long tech, short social media.

August 12th, 2016 8:40:38 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
More bottom picking, this time in $FE (utility/energy) based on options call activity for October.

FE 10/21/2016 34x Calls, 11050@$0.8
MV: $0.9M | $Not.: $14.9M | OI: 5121 | 18.5% TotalOI
21.6% StockVolume | 95.8% OptionVolume
August 12th, 2016 1:01:28 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Also added $HAIN as another potential breakout.
787 unique view(s)

August 11th, 2016

August 11th, 2016 1:18:10 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Picked up $AINV near the close as another potential bullish breakout.
796 unique view(s)

August 9th, 2016

August 9th, 2016 12:54:45 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Tech Trader doing some healthcare bottom-picking today and buying $VRX on volume capitulation.  Great month so far for stock selection with winners like $RAX, $YELP, $CPE.
August 9th, 2016 1:12:06 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
$YELP up an additional 5% after hours coincidentally.
741 unique view(s)

August 4th, 2016

August 4th, 2016 11:29:15 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Pretty sizable call buy in $SYMC today, about $1.3M in Jan 24x calls.
SYMC 1/20/2017 24x Calls, 30000@$0.4199
MV: $1.3M | $Not.: $14.0M | OI: 61 | 24.2% TotalOI
13.7% StockVolume | 72.2% OptionVolume
August 4th, 2016 12:48:02 PM PST
Posted by zonayev | #
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Do you see any big put spread trades in XLP over past few weeks? Thanks!

Sent from my iPhone

>
August 4th, 2016 12:51:59 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
None that we can see are notable.
August 4th, 2016 1:23:47 PM PST
Posted by zonayev | #
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Thanks!

Sent from my iPhone

>
August 4th, 2016 1:25:46 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
$SYMC up about 5% after hours on beat. Initial reports were that it missed; hence why we trade price and not news.
736 unique view(s)

July 29th, 2016

July 29th, 2016 4:34:56 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Tech Trader is back to betting on Tech, Consumer, and Energy after locking in 6% for July.  It really is looking like the winters and summers are reversed this year.

July 29th, 2016 6:34:59 PM PST
Posted by zonayev | #
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
I am the opposite. Short Tech, health care and consumer. Betting on Financials, industrials, and Utilities. Good luck!


Sent from my iPhone

>
July 29th, 2016 7:09:34 PM PST
Posted by zonayev | #
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Guys,
Some interesting fact for you. The best performing market neutral factor this year is 20-day RSI. The factor buys bottom 200 stocks in Russell 1000 ( oversold) and shorts top 200 most overbought stocks as determined by their 20-day RSI, rebalanced each month end. Over past 7 months the factor is up almost 17%. This is incredible performance. Basically traders market where fundamentals don't matter. Quants are trading baskets back and fourth. Until uncertainty is gone, it might be the best strategy for the rat of the year.
 

Sent from my iPhone

>
709 unique view(s)

July 22nd, 2016

July 22nd, 2016 1:57:46 PM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Big day for Tech Trader with short $SKX alone making over a percent for the portfolio.  The rest of the portfolio even without $SKX is still outperforming $SPY at over half a percent.  For July alone, Tech Trader is currently up 5%.  Exposures are holding at about 90% long by 20% short with 10% cash.  Sectors are a pretty neutral 10% even across the board with the top 3 being tech, healthcare, and energy, but as we saw with today, the positions are so idiosyncratic that performance can come from anywhere.

July 22nd, 2016 2:06:34 PM PST
Posted by twgarry | #
twgarry (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
great job!
716 unique view(s)

July 20th, 2016

July 20th, 2016 7:34:50 PM PST
Posted by zonayev | #
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Are you guys still long TLT? Tomorrow is ECB, likely would be bearish for bonds. Draghi normally is able to lift sentiment, hence German yields, at least for one day. Then FOMC next week. You could get some relief and opportunity to exit before Fed. Post Fed I can see TLT taking another leg down ahead of BOJ. After BOJ, I have no view. Helicopter money could be the game changer. Let's see.


Sent from my iPhone

>
746 unique view(s)

July 14th, 2016

July 14th, 2016 9:52:10 AM PST
Posted by zonayev | #
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
I hope you exited TLT yesterday. Are you buying again today?


Sent from my iPhone

>
July 14th, 2016 11:23:55 AM PST
Posted by zonayev | #
zonayev (Guest) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
I think TLT goes lower. ECB is next week and BOJ is end of the month.
Central banks are back in a driving seat.

Gold is less certain cause selling pressure on Treasuries is weakening USD
that marginally help Gold. Gold is down over 1% now but Gold miners  are
up. This can't continue unless yields fall back down.
799 unique view(s)

July 13th, 2016

July 13th, 2016 7:08:36 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
$TLT up a percent today after yesterday's buy. Nice hedge while the market takes a breather.
TLT
July 13th, 2016 8:16:55 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Long $HFC energy name after someone just bought almost $2M in August calls.

HFC 8/19/2016 24x Calls, 12267@$1.5
MV: $1.8M | $Not.: $15.3M | OI: 349 | 17.5% TotalOI
28.6% StockVolume | 37.4% OptionVolume
July 13th, 2016 9:11:22 AM PST
Posted by pftq | #
pftq (Official) says on The Tech Trader Wall...
Another short with $XHB after put buying for again August.
XHB 8/19/2016 34x Puts, 14375@$0.4499
MV: $0.6M | $Not.: $15.4M | OI: 80 | 13.5% TotalOI
37.2% StockVolume | 95.3% OptionVolume